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High risk Ebola could reach France and UK by end-October, scientists calculate
Reuters ^ | October 5, 2014 | By Kate Kelland

Posted on 10/05/2014 8:43:35 AM PDT by Oldeconomybuyer

Scientists have used Ebola disease spread patterns and airline traffic data to predict a 75 percent chance the virus could be imported to France by October 24, and a 50 percent chance it could hit Britain by that date.

Those numbers are based on air traffic remaining at full capacity. Assuming an 80 percent reduction in travel to reflect that many airlines are halting flights to affected regions, France's risk is still 25 percent, and Britain's is 15 percent.

"It's really a lottery," said Derek Gatherer of Britain's Lancaster University, an expert in viruses who has been tracking the epidemic - the worst Ebola outbreak in history.

"If this thing continues to rage on in West Africa and indeed gets worse, as some people have predicted, then it's only a matter of time before one of these cases ends up on a plane to Europe," said Gatherer.

(Excerpt) Read more at reuters.com ...


TOPICS: Culture/Society; Foreign Affairs; News/Current Events; United Kingdom
KEYWORDS: ebola; ebolaoutbreak; ebolatransmission; france; uk
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To: Gritty

The least they could do is offer the garage to the homeless dude so the CDC can check on them all at the same time.


21 posted on 10/05/2014 3:39:30 PM PDT by bgill (CDC site, "we still do not know exactly how people are infected with Ebola")
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To: Smokin' Joe

Dallas had white flight exactly 40 years ago. What’s old is new again.


22 posted on 10/05/2014 3:40:46 PM PDT by bgill (CDC site, "we still do not know exactly how people are infected with Ebola")
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To: Smokin' Joe

Thanks for the ping!


23 posted on 10/05/2014 7:59:52 PM PDT by Alamo-Girl
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To: Alamo-Girl

You’re Welcome, Alamo-Girl!


24 posted on 10/06/2014 2:29:31 AM PDT by Smokin' Joe (How often God must weep at humans' folly. Stand fast. God knows what He is doing.)
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