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Pat Roberts is in big trouble, but he’s not a goner yet
The Washington Post ^ | October 1, 2014 | Aaron Blake

Posted on 10/02/2014 6:57:38 AM PDT by centurion316

A new poll out Wednesday from Suffolk University and USA Today confirms something we kind of already knew: Sen. Pat Roberts (R-Kan.) is in a remarkable amount of trouble. The poll shows independent Greg Orman leading Roberts 46 percent to 41 percent with Democrat Chad Taylor now off the ballot.

It has plenty of bad news for Roberts, but also some reasons to believe his goose isn't cooked just yet. Below, we're recapping three ominous signs for Roberts, and three reasons for hope. (And it all comes with the caveat that one poll shouldn't be taken as gospel.)

First, the storm clouds:

1) He is behind, period.

The only other Senate incumbents who have trailed by as much as five points in a poll are Sens. Mark Pryor , Mary Landrieu and Mark Begich . And there are less than five weeks left in the campaign — i.e. not a ton of time.

2) His favorable rating — 39 percent — is lower than President Obama's — 41 percent.

Ouch. That said, this is where Obama's mother is from, so there might be same nostalgia for that. His approval rating, for example, is five points lower, at 36 percent. And Roberts's unfavorable rating and disapproval ratings are both lower than Obama's. Still, the fact that Roberts is in the same ballpark as Obama in ruby-red Kansas is telling.

Also telling: Roberts's approval rating among Republicans is just 50 percent, with 36 percent disapproving. Clearly, there are lingering effects from his sub-50-percent primary showing.

3) Roberts earns the support of just 61 percent of Republicans

It's 61-30 Roberts among GOPers. If he's going to win, that needs to change — plain and simple. An incumbent, even in a state like Kansas, can't win while ceding that much of his party's vote.

(Excerpt) Read more at washingtonpost.com ...


TOPICS: Extended News; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections; US: Kansas
KEYWORDS: 113th; 2014midterms; kansas; ks2014; patroberts; roberts; senate; teaparty
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To: xzins

Sorry, didn’t mean to direct this at your post specifically, that’s why I added all but I understand.

It just goes to show the influence media, including local medias have on folks. Plus, the influence of social media by the left these days and how many people fall for all of it. It’s really an issue about nothing, since most DC politicians have homes around Washington these days but when you take in to account all the shenanigans going on in this race, you see a pattern and this is just part of the left’s pattern to try to defeat Roberts and help keep Harry Reid in power. Personally, I don’t want anything to do with helping to keep Dingy Harry in power.

CGato


81 posted on 10/02/2014 10:32:26 AM PDT by Conservative Gato
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To: Conservative Gato

Like I said, I have no problem with Roberts. He won his primary with no vote fraud against who, Wolf, who ran a lousy campaign. Roberts is now an insider, but he has a conservative voting record.

I, too, have had my fill of Reid. I hope Kansans get their act together before the election.


82 posted on 10/02/2014 10:42:57 AM PDT by xzins ( Retired Army Chaplain and Proud of It! Those who truly support our troops pray for victory!)
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To: xzins

I hope so too.

I’m actually starting to see some grumblings by democrats on local social medias for not having a democrat party candidate specifically on the ballot. I guess we’ll see how that ends up affecting this race.

CGato


83 posted on 10/02/2014 10:54:24 AM PDT by Conservative Gato
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To: centurion316

Could it not be that most Conservatives just don’t want anything to do with Roberts? I admit I don’t live in Kansas but from what I’ve read Roberts is very much detested by the majority of the Republican base and apparently for good reason it would seem. Me thinks the GOP-e screwed up big time and backed the wrong pony (or would that be NAG in this case) back in the primary?!


84 posted on 10/02/2014 11:15:29 AM PDT by Ron H. (Ben Carson for President in 2016.)
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To: Uncle Miltie

I like the way you think.


85 posted on 10/02/2014 11:22:21 AM PDT by Ron H. (Ben Carson for President in 2016.)
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To: Resettozero
Best analysis yet on this thread.

I concur! It was spot on.

86 posted on 10/02/2014 11:23:15 AM PDT by Ron H. (Ben Carson for President in 2016.)
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To: Conservative Gato
I’m actually starting to see some grumblings by democrats on local social medias for not having a democrat party candidate specifically on the ballot. I guess we’ll see how that ends up affecting this race.

One Democrat had filed suit trying to force the party to name a replacement. A three judge panel ruled yesterday that the Democrats didn't have to. One of the reasons why they ruled against the plaintiff could be the fact that he didn't bother showing up for the hearing. Long story short, I doubt that a whole lot of Democrats in the state are angry about not having a Democrat on the ballot to vote for.

87 posted on 10/02/2014 11:23:36 AM PDT by DoodleDawg
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To: Ron H.

Roberts is far more conservative than most of the GOP establishment, but he is certainly one of them from the standpoint of time in Washington and willingness to support the party leadership.

Kansans were (and are) upset that he has forgotten his state except for constituent services and chores that he does for the agri business and aviation lobbyists. Liberal Republicans (there are many of those in this state) are supporting Greg Orman because he is even more liberal than are they. Conservatives are supporting Greg Orman because they haven’t heard that the primary is over and/or they have no idea what they are doing.


88 posted on 10/02/2014 11:26:07 AM PDT by centurion316
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To: DoodleDawg

I hate to see him lose. He’s got a lot of people trying to help him win who’s opinion I respect.


89 posted on 10/02/2014 1:01:43 PM PDT by nikos1121
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To: DoodleDawg

Yeah, I saw that ruling, it was another leftists case like the definition of “is” is. It’s just more liberal big government officials trying to help liberal big government move forward.

I’m just reporting my observations, you’d think there were some sane democrats out there but who knows.

CGato


90 posted on 10/02/2014 1:39:13 PM PDT by Conservative Gato
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