In addition, those vote margins would have had to come from areas where conservatives were, very recently, voting in bigger numbers and are still in the same place. They are not.
Denver is a good example. McCain got a little over 60,000 votes in 2008. Romney got 9,500 more votes in 2012 than McCain got in 2008.
That’s a pattern I’ve seen when I checked 2008 vs. 2012. Whoever the conservatives were who ‘stayed home’, they are not statistically significant.
If those conservatives are who moved from Blue states to Texas, then they still won't matter because Texas is red, whether by 1 vote or 1 million votes.
-PJ