[Charles Martel]

The big factor in this race will be the December runoff date. Back in 2008, William "Cold Cash" Jefferson's U.S. House seat was on the ballot - but the election was delayed until after November due to the primary being postponed by Hurricane Gustave. All of Jefferson's constituents were busy celebrating Obama's November victory and *forgot* about the House runoff - and the Vietnamese guy was elected (much to the delayed shock and anger of the district's black voters, who acted as though it was some sort of dirty trick).

Landrieu has close ties with the ACORN gang and other GOTV groups, so she will not be similarly neglected. If Cassidy is her runoff opponent, he better have a strong ground game in St. Tammany and Jefferson Parishes because those are the areas that can negate New Orleans.

There's one other thing I should probably mention: In Louisiana, Mary is primarily viewed as a New Orleans politician. That is not a positive factor throughout much of the state.

[InterceptPoint]

There is a fair chance that the LA runoff will decide who has the Senate majority. If so it will be a circus to end all circi (excuse my tortured Latin.)