——November 5th is going to be a rough day for this country.-——
Only if you are a libtard....
Likely voters vs REGISTERED voters the never ending debate...
from of all places kos
ASSUMPTIONS versus EVIDENCE: THE RV/LV DIVIDE
ASSUMPTION #1: Likely voter polls are more accurate than ones of registered voters
ASSUMPTION: Incorrect
Of the 50 state presidential polls conducting during the final month of the 2004 and 2008 presidential campaigns, the RV result was closer to the final outcome than the LV result in fully half of them. In just 38 percent of them was the LV screen closer to the final outcome than the RV screen. In six of the polls, incidentally, there was no difference between the RV/LV results in a poll.
For what it is worth, those numbers track closely to a study I did of downballot polling in advance of the 2010 midterm elections.