As I said... very weak.
/johnny
You said that you looked forward to McConnell losing. A 5 point win, altho a weak win, is still a win.
And that 5 point win is a floor based on past tending for mid cycle elections. There’s a lot of evidence out there that the Liberal and Black vote is even more demoralized, and therefore will be more depressed, than the 2010 election. Thats why the Dems are working so hard to play up Ferguson and exploit it as a political issue.
Every Liberal or Black in KY (particularly Louisville, which has the highest statewide concentrations of both) who stays home will need to be offset by either two pissed off Conservatives who stay home or one Conservative who crosses for Grimes in order to move past break-even.