If history is any guide, this November does bode well for the Dems. Midterm elections generally favor the Party out of power. This is especially pronounced in the 6th year of an incumbent administration. Consider the following:
In 1958 (6th year of the Eisenhower Administration) the Dems scored a massive victory in the midterm election.
In 1966 (6th year of the JFK-LBJ Administrations) the GOP scored a massive gain in the midterm election.
In 1974 (6th year of the Nixon-Ford Administrations) the Dems scored a massive victory in the midterm election.
In 1986 (6th year of the Reagan Administration) the Dems scored a massive victory in the midterm election taking back the US Senate.
1998 (6th year of the Clinton Administration) the GOP did not score such a major gain, but that’s because they had already done so in 1994 and they held on to their gains throughout the last six years of the Clinton Administration.
In 2006 (6th year of the Bush Administration) the Dems scored massive gains in the midterm election taking both the House and the US Senate.
Polls fluctuate all the time, but historic patterns remain relatively constant. The Dems have good reason to be sweating.
I meant to say does NOT bode well for the Dems.
You mean before computerized voting and tabulation?