Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article

Skip to comments.

New CBS/NYT Poll Shows Possible GOP Senate Wave Forming
redstate.com ^ | 7/29/14 | Leon Wolf

Posted on 07/29/2014 11:22:19 AM PDT by cotton1706

A new CBS/NYT poll has been released which is thus far the most exhaustive simultaneous battleground poll that has been taken this election season. It shows Republicans holding all their “close” seats, with McConnell leading Grimes 50-46 and Perdue leading Nunn 50-44. Obviously, these races are still very competitive and could flip although I think that as time goes along Perdue will pull away from Nunn while McConnell looks to be in a dogfight to the very end.

As predicted, John Walsh is all but officially toast in Montana, trailing Danes 56-40. The plagiarism scandal seems to have mortally wounded Walsh in what was a long shot race for them to begin with, and we may not have yet seen the fallout from that one. As expected, Mike Rounds is winning the open seat in SD in a laugher, which puts the GOP at a solid +2. Shelly Moore Capito is shown with a high single digit (51-43) lead in WV, which is consistent with other polling. Absent a stunning development in one of these races the GOP begins the election season looking at a +3 advantage, confirming everything we thought we knew thus far about the race for the Senate.

That is where things get ugly for the Dems. This poll shows the Dems also losing Arkansas (Cotton +4), North Carolina (Tillis +1), Louisiana (Cassidy +1), Iowa (Ernst +1), and Michigan (Land +1) – which, if true, would give the GOP 53 seats in 2015. Obviously, a number of these races are very close and, in the case of Michigan in particular, bucking a state’s partisan trend. But where many of these races are “too close to call,” the Dems are also up by “too close to call” in AK (Begich +2), and CO (Udall +4).

(Excerpt) Read more at redstate.com ...


TOPICS: Constitution/Conservatism; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: elections
Navigation: use the links below to view more comments.
first previous 1-2021-4041-6061-68 next last
To: cotton1706

I bet Brownie pulls it out in NH.


41 posted on 07/29/2014 1:04:42 PM PDT by Jim Noble (When strong, avoid them. Attack their weaknesses. Emerge to their surprise. Hat)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: cotton1706

Well, I guess that means Obama and his band of dumbshits only have 3 more months to destroy everything they can. Then it’s the GOPe’s turn to show us how feckless and stupid they can be.


42 posted on 07/29/2014 1:06:07 PM PDT by Bullish (You ever notice that liberalism really just amounts to anti-morality?)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: MSF BU
I agree on Democrat Senator Begich, although his Alaska constituency has forced him to back down on gun control.

The Republican primary is also puzzling.

The top GOP candidate trails Begich by 12%, but the number two trails by just 2%.

I have no idea why.

The Tea Party candidate in the primary will get about 15%, but I'm not sure which Republican he takes votes away from.

43 posted on 07/29/2014 1:10:26 PM PDT by zeestephen
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 35 | View Replies]

To: zeestephen

Sorry, meant to give you this link - the national map:

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2014/senate/2014_elections_senate_map.html

They consider these to be tossups:

AK: Begich (D)
AR: Pryor (D)
CO: Udall (D)
GA: Open (R)
IA: Open (D)
KY: McConnell (R)
LA: Landrieu (D)
MI: Open (D)
NC: Hagan (D)

Here they list MI as a tossup. Thanks for noticing.


44 posted on 07/29/2014 1:22:41 PM PDT by Eccl 10:2 (Prov 3:5 --- "Trust in the Lord with all your heart and lean not on your own understanding")
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 26 | View Replies]

To: Rennes Templar

America’s second Black President will never be impeached. The first one lied on camera to a Federal judge and became a media hero when he was impeached. He was also a rapist who conducted his own private war on women.

Do you grasp the narrative of victimhood and how the media plays into it? It would be a public relations disaster to impeach Obama unless he pulled out a gun and shot Michelle on public TV. Even then ...


45 posted on 07/29/2014 1:23:58 PM PDT by neocon1984
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 3 | View Replies]

To: neocon1984

Even if he was impeached, but not convicted, the following words have a nice ring to them in 2016:

“The Democratic nominee will have a tough road, as the previous two Democratic presidents have been impeached”.


46 posted on 07/29/2014 2:01:06 PM PDT by Rennes Templar (If Obama hated America and wanted to destroy her, what would he do differently?)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 45 | View Replies]

To: cotton1706
Oh no, that can't be!

The GOP naysayers on FR are saying that would never happen!

47 posted on 07/29/2014 2:03:39 PM PDT by fortheDeclaration (Pr 14:34 Righteousness exalteth a nation:but sin is a reproach to any people)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: zeestephen

could the 3rd part candidate keep top voter getter under 50% and result in a January runoff?


48 posted on 07/29/2014 2:16:18 PM PDT by SMGFan (Sarah Michelle Gellar is now on twitter @RealSMG)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 22 | View Replies]

To: cotton1706

Assuming this poll taken BEFORE Boehner’s cave on immigration issue. Perhaps it should be done again. The elites have shot their feet full of holes.


49 posted on 07/29/2014 2:59:42 PM PDT by V K Lee
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Rennes Templar

The Media would crucify us by constantly reporting that the last two Democrat Presidents were impeached by evil, racist Republicans bent on terrorizing the nation and lining their own greedy pockets ... you have heard it before and know the rest.

That said, it does have a nice ring to it. Sort of like the bells of freedom ringing.


50 posted on 07/29/2014 3:07:03 PM PDT by neocon1984
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 46 | View Replies]

To: neocon1984

If we could only impeach the media...


51 posted on 07/29/2014 3:43:09 PM PDT by Rennes Templar (If Obama hated America and wanted to destroy her, what would he do differently?)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 50 | View Replies]

To: Rennes Templar

Amen!


52 posted on 07/29/2014 4:46:50 PM PDT by neocon1984
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 51 | View Replies]

To: cotton1706

I think Joe Miller can win the Republican primary in Alaska and if he does so he can beat Mark Begich.


53 posted on 07/29/2014 4:48:32 PM PDT by Monorprise
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: SMGFan

I did not write that clearly.

The Tea Party “favorite” is a Republican, and he is running in the GOP primary in August.

I don’t know what the Alaskan Republicans do if no one gets a majority in their August primary.


54 posted on 07/29/2014 5:56:53 PM PDT by zeestephen
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 48 | View Replies]

To: Grams A

Re: “But that will never happen.”

Agree.

If McConnell loses, the GOP will need to flip EIGHT Democrat seats to win a Senate majority.


55 posted on 07/29/2014 6:01:44 PM PDT by zeestephen
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 31 | View Replies]

To: zeestephen

I was referring to Georgia.


56 posted on 07/29/2014 6:51:06 PM PDT by SMGFan (Sarah Michelle Gellar is now on twitter @RealSMG)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 54 | View Replies]

To: BigEdLB

Incumbent Dem under 50%... Lot of ‘em. The only incumbent GOP under 50% I know of is McConnell in KY
______________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
I think that Lamar Alexander is under 50% polling the the Primary.


57 posted on 07/29/2014 6:58:07 PM PDT by Din Maker (I've always been crazy, but, that's the only thing that has k-ept me from going insane.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 2 | View Replies]

To: MSF BU
ALASKA is puzzling!?!

How's about MN, where that dolt Franken is apparently "safe?"

58 posted on 07/29/2014 7:03:08 PM PDT by daler
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 35 | View Replies]

To: Rennes Templar
No way. According to some posters here, Obama would veto his impeachment,
so it wouldn't work.
59 posted on 07/29/2014 7:06:27 PM PDT by MaxMax (Pay Attention and you'll be pissed off too! FIRE BOEHNER, NOW!)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 3 | View Replies]

To: Viennacon; All
Good. Then we can afford to knock off Cochran by not showing up.

No; not really. I quote from the article:
"Cochran remains stubbornly under 50% in one of the reddest states in the union. Lingering bad feelings about Cochran’s tactics may yet come back to haunt him on election day if incensed TEA Party voters decide to vote Childers on election day rather than staying home. "

Staying home is, more less, a vote for Cochran. At least half of the McDaniel supporters have to be outraged enough, on November 4th, to vote for the Dem candidate; Travis Childers. Childers is an old-style Southern Democrat.... Pro-life, Pro-Second Amendment. (Not sure where he stands on same-sex marriage.)
60 posted on 07/29/2014 7:22:38 PM PDT by Din Maker (I've always been crazy, but, that's the only thing that has kept me from going insane.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 10 | View Replies]


Navigation: use the links below to view more comments.
first previous 1-2021-4041-6061-68 next last

Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.

Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article

FreeRepublic, LLC, PO BOX 9771, FRESNO, CA 93794
FreeRepublic.com is powered by software copyright 2000-2008 John Robinson