[MDspinboyredux]

Not really, if taken with the other considerations in my post.

I bet Cantor was pretty confident going into the primary too. Look how that turned out.

Run a solid race, avoid making novice gaffes and don’t fark it up.

[JRandomFreeper]

One house race is not going to turn the house over to the Dems even if Brat loses.

The important thing is that the liberal republican majority leader of the house got fired.

My mission in life is to see all liberal republican candidates politically destroyed, if not in the primary, then in the general election.

/johnny

[SoConPubbie]

Not really, if taken with the other considerations in my post.

Nothing of what you posted makes that 43% come even close to providing any probability of a Dem upset.