Obama took 43% of the vote in 2012. Very plausible for Dem pickup.
As far as your prediction (and something Cantor is very aware of right now), I’ll leave you with this:
“pride goeth before the fall”
Don’t be too confident.
Obama took 43% in a presidential election. He got out the base vote from Richmond. Different turnout, different demo, different candidate. In an off year election which is mode overwhelmingly Republican, the unknown Dem has no chance.
Obama took 43% in a presidential election. He got out the base vote from Richmond. Different turnout, different demo, different candidate. In an off year election which is more overwhelmingly Republican, the unknown (white college professor) Dem has no chance.