[deport]

Can someone win with a plurality or does someone have to get 50% to avoid a run-off?

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It’s a majority or 50% plus is my reading. The 3rd candidate, Thomas L Cary’
in one poll I saw had 3% or under and something like 12% were undecided. So in
effect the undecideds will make the outcome decision.

Here are some recent polls data and I’m sure there is other polls out there.

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2014/senate/ms/mississippi_senate_republican_primary-4188.html

[Din Maker]

12% were undecided. So in effect the undecideds will make the outcome decision.
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And political observers will tell you that undecideds break for the Challenger by 80%. Thad Cochran has been around 50 years. If people are still “undecided” on whether or not to keep him in the Senate, they will not vote for him on Tuesday. If 50 years time isn’t enough to convince you, two more days won’t do it.