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The Jaw-Dropping Potential in This American Oil Patch Could Change the World
fool.com ^ | May 24, 2014 | Tyler Crowe

Posted on 05/25/2014 9:39:44 AM PDT by ckilmer

The Jaw-Dropping Potential in This American Oil Patch Could Change the World

By Tyler Crowe |
May 24, 2014 |

It may not look like much, but this might be the biggest oil field in the world (Source: Devon Energy Media Resources).

The pride and joy of Saudi Arabia's oil industry has been the Ghawar oil field, which has been recognized as the largest in the world ever since its discovery in 1948. That is, perhaps, until now. A shale oil formation deep beneath the plains of West Texas has been sitting right under our noses for years, and Pioneer Natural Resources (NYSE: PXD  ) estimates that it could usurp the Ghawar field's 60-year reign. Let's look at what Pioneer has discovered, and what this find could mean for producers with heavy investments in the Permian, including Pioneer, Occidental Petroleum (NYSE: OXY  ) , EOG Resources (NYSE: EOG  ) , and Devon Energy (NYSE: DVN  ) .

Hiding in plain view
By the time the Ghawar field was discovered, commercial oil production had been taking place in the Permian Basin in Texas for more than 25 years. Estimates of the Permian's reserves were somewhere in the 10 billion-12 billion barrel range. That's nothing to scoff at, but it certainly didn't come close to the 71 billion barrels in that single formation under the Saudi desert. Apparently, those oilmen simply didn't look hard enough, because they missed the rest of the oil in the Permian.

All 75 billion barrels of it.

Source: Pioneer Natural Resources Investor Presentation.

To be fair to those wildcatters of old, they didn't know that oil trapped in shale would someday be commercially extractable. Now that hydraulic fracturing has made it possible, we are discovering increasing amounts of oil in the Permian. Pioneer Natural Resources -- one of the most prominent landholders in West Texas -- estimates that the recoverable resources in the field's different shale layers could make it the world's largest single source of recoverable oil ever found. 

This isn't just a lot of oil. This is a "completely change the dynamics of global production" amount of oil. This is an "enough to supply all of America by itself for more than a decade" amount of oil. If Pioneer's estimates are accurate, and this resource can be de-risked to be considered proved reserves, the U.S. could triple its proved reserves and vault from No. 11 in global reserves to sixth, right behind Iraq. Then there's the really crazy part of all this. Look at the last line of that slide above: Pioneer didn't even include several other potential shale formations that are found in the Permian.

Getting more bang from a previously spent buck
The Permian is not a newly discovered formation that could be subject to a land-grab rush like we saw five to 10 years ago. Most of the acreage in the region is already claimed by the players noted above, possibly placing these companies in an absolutely amazing growth position for the next several years. The potential of the Permian Basin is enough to profoundly impact the total reserves on the books for all four companies.

Company Proved Reserves (millions of barrels) Net Acreage in Permian Basin
Pioneer Natural Resources 845 717,000
Devon Energy 2,963 1,300,000
EOG Resources 2,119 413,000
Occidental Petroleum 3,483 1,900,000

Source: Company 10-Ks via sec.gov.


TOPICS: Business/Economy
KEYWORDS: frackingoil; ghawar; oil; opec; permian; permianbasin; saudiarabia; texas; wolfcamp
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1 posted on 05/25/2014 9:39:44 AM PDT by ckilmer
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To: thackney; SunkenCiv

Permian Basin oil estimates rising.


2 posted on 05/25/2014 9:40:31 AM PDT by ckilmer
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To: ckilmer

Quick. Someone find the endangered spotted sage cricket to shut it down.


3 posted on 05/25/2014 9:42:06 AM PDT by Organic Panic
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To: ckilmer

Quick! Find an endangered Dike Snail to protect.


4 posted on 05/25/2014 9:42:59 AM PDT by Jeff Chandler (Conservatism is the political disposition of grown-ups.)
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To: Organic Panic

Dang it, I took too long cleaning up the language.


5 posted on 05/25/2014 9:43:40 AM PDT by Jeff Chandler (Conservatism is the political disposition of grown-ups.)
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To: ckilmer

BFL


6 posted on 05/25/2014 9:45:42 AM PDT by Lurkina.n.Learnin
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To: Organic Panic
And with odumbo, his ilk administration and the enviro’s, that oil will sit right there till hell freezes over if they have their way. Time to unelect all the demodummies and start drilling, building refineries and marketing our oil to the world. There would be NO NEED for foreign oil, period!
7 posted on 05/25/2014 9:48:09 AM PDT by DaveA37
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To: ckilmer
WoW this is good news......this is going to make our enemies to rethink a lot of things.
8 posted on 05/25/2014 9:48:48 AM PDT by virgil283 (That your faith should not stand in the wisdom of men, but in the power of God.)
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To: ckilmer

Prohibit whabbist funds from reaching America.


9 posted on 05/25/2014 9:50:01 AM PDT by Paladin2
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To: ckilmer

EVIL! RACISM! SAVE THE (insert animal/fish/plant/insect here)!


10 posted on 05/25/2014 9:52:52 AM PDT by Dallas59 ("Remember me as you pass by, As you are now, so once was I, As I am now, so you will be")
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To: Organic Panic

Over here in California, the greenies are not above purchasing, transporting and dumping so called ‘rare and endangered’ insects onto a tract of land in the dead of night just to throw an expensive monkey wrench into a companies development plans.
What sounds like a Junior High prank to us, sounds like a worthy strategy to them. This has happened, but the deception is usually discovered months or years later, after money and time are wasted with environmental studies.


11 posted on 05/25/2014 9:53:20 AM PDT by lee martell
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To: Paladin2

Jebb Clampet would be proud. I doubt if he’d move to Beverly however


12 posted on 05/25/2014 9:55:10 AM PDT by shadeaud (Be strong when you are weak.)
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To: ckilmer

Surely there’s an East Fork Riparian Striped Spotted Tree Jumping Ambling Mud Skipper that needs protected.


13 posted on 05/25/2014 10:02:09 AM PDT by Free Vulcan (Vote Republican! You can vote Democrat when you're dead...)
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To: DaveA37
Yes, but remember that part of the theory behind foreign oil is to use theirs up first and preserve ours. Sucking the Permian Basin dry now might not be in our long-term national security interests. But sucking Saudi Arabia dry immediately is in everyone's best interest.

And as far as gasoline prices are concerned, building new refineries will help a lot more in the short-to-medium term than extracting more domestic crude.

14 posted on 05/25/2014 10:02:42 AM PDT by Mr. Jeeves ([CTRL-GALT-DELETE])
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To: Mr. Jeeves
Yes, but remember that part of the theory behind foreign oil is to use theirs up first and preserve ours. Sucking the Permian Basin dry now might not be in our long-term national security interests. But sucking Saudi Arabia dry immediately is in everyone's best interest.

That makes sense, but I think most of the Saudi oil goes to Europe. Our imports mostly come from Mexico and Canada.

15 posted on 05/25/2014 10:11:05 AM PDT by Moonman62 (The US has become a government with a country, rather than a country with a government.)
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To: ckilmer

Only if it is on private land. The EPA has basically shut down anything new on fed land


16 posted on 05/25/2014 10:11:35 AM PDT by Nifster
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To: ckilmer

The fracking enviroweenies will pop a cork on this one. A multi-million barrel gusher of anti-fracking BS will pour out into the propaganda machines. The automobile must be stopped.


17 posted on 05/25/2014 10:12:29 AM PDT by jonrick46 (The opium of Communists: other people's money.)
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To: ckilmer

Until the price of gas drops, who cares?


18 posted on 05/25/2014 10:14:01 AM PDT by tennmountainman (Just Say No To Obamacare)
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To: Mr. Jeeves
sucking Saudi Arabia dry immediately is in everyone's best interest.

What about the ChiComs oil demand? They suck a lot.

19 posted on 05/25/2014 10:18:10 AM PDT by ROCKLOBSTER (Celebrate "Republicans Freed the Slaves" Month.)
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To: ckilmer

Not sustainable, shut it in.


20 posted on 05/25/2014 10:18:51 AM PDT by Captain7seas
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