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To: xzins

There are roughly 2.2 million marriages every year.

There are roughly 1.1 million divorces every year.

That is how they come up with the statistic of 50% of marriages end in divorce.

But to find out the RATE of divorce, you need to put the number of divorces over the total number of marriages that exist in the country.

If there are fifty million marriages that exist in America, then that is 1.1 million divorces over 50,000,000 marriages, or a rate of 2.2% that end in divorce in a given year.

I am using WAG estimates to prove a mathematical point, as government statistics do not include all states, every year, for divorce and marriage.

The rate of divorce in a given year is nowhere near 50% or even 25%.


20 posted on 05/06/2014 6:08:45 AM PDT by exit82 ("The Taliban is on the inside of the building" E. Nordstrom 10-10-12)
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To: exit82

“I am using WAG estimates to prove a mathematical point, as government statistics do not include all states, every year, for divorce and marriage”

Actually, you are using a SWAG. A WAG (wild ass guess) means you are just pulling a random number out of the air. While a SWAG (Scientific Wild Ass Guess) means you actually manipulated two numbers that may or not be related to each other to come up with the number used.

Check back on your discussion and I believe you will see that I am correct. Other than that minor issue, it is a well presented discussion.


60 posted on 05/06/2014 2:58:44 PM PDT by dirtymac (Now is the time for all good men to come to the aid of their country)
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