Lingering Effect of 2007-09 Recession Clobbers U.S. Birth Rate

Valley News ^ | Friday, March 28, 2014 | John McCormick

[MinorityRepublican]

The U.S. recorded the most deaths in its history and the fewest births since 1998, resulting in the lowest population gain from natural causes in 35 years, an analysis of 2013 Census Bureau estimates released Thursday shows.

Americans remain cautious about having babies following the worst recession since the Great Depression, although they are increasingly changing residences again, suggesting growing confidence in the economic recovery.

Those are among the findings from county-level data that also show the largest metropolitan areas are getting bigger as much of the rest of the nation sees slower population growth or declines. Rural areas where oil and natural gas production is booming and Gulf Coast retirement conclaves are notable exceptions to that trend.

“The recession’s influence on migration may be waning, but it continues to have a negative impact on births,” said Ken Johnson, a senior demographer with the University of New Hampshire’s Carsey Institute who analyzed the data.

Johnson’s analysis is based on newly released data for the year ending July 1, 2013. It shows there were 3.95 million births during those 12 months, compared with 4.31 million in the pre-recession 2006-07 period, a drop of 8.4 percent amid an overall U.S. population that continued to grow because of immigration.

[kabar]

Bureau of the Census: The nation’s total population would cross the 400 million mark in 2051, reaching 420.3 million in 2060.

[kabar]

The US fertility rate is at 2.01, just at replacement level. France is at 2.08. Israel 2.62.

[Vince Ferrer]

I doubt very much that will happen. But the question is, if that did happened, would the United States still exist? That population increase can only come from immigration. While some immigration can help a country, massive immigration while there is a demographic collapse is not going to help. It just means the new owners of the land are moving in. Like Rome, like the Mayans. The Toltecs moved into the Mayan cities as they were collapsing. The Germans moved into Rome.

Immigrants Will Form Half of Russian Federation’s Population in 2050, Experts Say

I guess that's one reason to go looking for extra Russians in Ukraine.

[octex]

Truly amazing that when the left MSM mentions the recession beginning in 2007, they never provide the information that the Democrats took control of both the House and Senate in the November 2006 elections. ...It’s always blamed on Bush.

[ronnie raygun]

Anyone tell the muzzies, the low information voters and the mexifornians?

[onedoug]

One would never know this living in LA’s Los Feliz area. There are so many babies about here that it sometimes prompts me to the “Ratings Game” line of a black performer: “I ain’t never seen so many white people in one place.”

[RegulatorCountry]

Subsidy versus penalty at work.

[WashingtonSource]

In his new book The Death of Money James Rickards argues that we are in a depression and have been since 2007.

[TalBlack]

“...although they are increasingly changing residences again, suggesting growing confidence in the economic recovery.”

Or moving to cheaper digs.Or bailing on one place and going to another...

[kabar]

I doubt very much that will happen.

Hello. It is happening now and has been happening since 1970. Immigrants and their US born children account for 80% of our population growth. We add one net migrant every 38 seconds. In 1970 one in 21 was foreign born in this country; today it is one in 8 the highest it has been in 90 years; and within a decade it will be one in 7, the highest in our history. Today, there are 45 million foreign born. We have just had the two highest decades of immigration in history--over 25 million people.

But the question is, if that did happened, would the United States still exist? That population increase can only come from immigration.

First, the population of the US is increasing every year. The current growth rate is .77% a year. Since 1970, our population by decade is as follows:

1970--203 million

1980--227 million

1990--249 million

2000--281 million

2010--308 million

Today--318 million

The Gang of 8 bill that passed in the Senate with 14 Rep votes will increase permanent legal immigration to 33 million over the next decade or almost 2 1/2 times the previous decade.

The size of foreign-born population doubled from 1990 to 2010, nearly tripled since 1980, and quadrupled since 1970. If S.744 becomes law it would quintuple by 2020, compared to 1970.

The size of the foreign-born population will have increased from 9.6 million in 1970 to 31.1 million in 2000, to 65.2 million by 2033.

The record high of 15 percent projected for 2020 if the bill passes means that over just a 50-year period the foreign-born share of the population would have more than tripled, from 4.7 percent in 1970. There has never been a period in American history when the foreign-born share grew this fast.

People need to wake up. We don't need to bring in 1.1 million permanent legal immigrants a year, 87% of whom are minorities as classified by the USG. It has demographic and electoral impacts. The U.S. is projected to become a majority-minority nation for the first time in 2043. While the non-Hispanic white population will remain the largest single group, no group will make up a majority.