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This is the Senate seat being vacated by Tom Harkin. Congressman Braley is unopposed for the Dem nomination. There are five Republicans running in the June primary.

Poll conducted before Braley's recent remarks attacking Chuck Grassley as a farmer who didn't go to law school.

1 posted on 03/27/2014 9:16:24 AM PDT by iowamark
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To: iowamark

Is this one we were already counting as a pickup toward taking the Senate? or is this an extra?


2 posted on 03/27/2014 9:17:32 AM PDT by TexasFreeper2009 (Obama lied .. the economy died.)
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To: iowamark
He won't be in the lead for long once this gets out in Iowa...

Braley’s ‘farmer from Iowa’ remarks could spell election trouble for party

5 posted on 03/27/2014 9:21:20 AM PDT by Timber Rattler (Just say NO! to RINOS and the GOP-E)
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To: iowamark

I think Braleys poll numbers are weak considering that he already represents 1/4 of the state. The others are not very well known. Joni ernst would be our strongest candidate.


6 posted on 03/27/2014 9:22:11 AM PDT by amnestynone (Lindsey Graham is a feckless, duplicitous, treacherous, double dealing backstabbing corksucker.)
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To: iowamark

The Dem is just barely beating any of several Republicans? That means once there’s a single nominee, the Dem is likely to get thumped.


8 posted on 03/27/2014 9:22:56 AM PDT by cdcdawg (Be seeing you...)
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To: iowamark
Braley has huge name recognition compared to the Republicans so this poll has to make him nervous. He may have slit his own throat in his recorded appeal to out of state trial lawyers where he self-identifies as one of them as opposed to being a "real" Iowan.

Also, Ernst has released a commercial that is getting national (free) air play, which can only help her cause.

This is one the dems need in order to hold the senate and it's not looking very good for them at the moment.

9 posted on 03/27/2014 9:25:31 AM PDT by trad_anglican
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To: iowamark

So within the margin of error on all of them except the talk show guy.


10 posted on 03/27/2014 9:26:27 AM PDT by DoodleDawg
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To: iowamark

Very good news.

Once the “farmer” comment gets out, it will kill him.


13 posted on 03/27/2014 9:37:34 AM PDT by struggle
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To: iowamark

Before? Interesting, very interesting Marco. These are some good numbers.


15 posted on 03/27/2014 9:58:53 AM PDT by Free Vulcan (Vote Republican! You can vote Democrat when you're dead...)
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To: iowamark

Ms. Ernst is the clever lady looking to go to Washington, DC to try out her hog-castrating skills on the federal government. I don’t know much about the lady, but I love the ad.


19 posted on 03/27/2014 10:16:44 AM PDT by sitetest (If Roe is not overturned, no unborn child will ever be protected in law.)
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To: iowamark

While really too small a difference to count, that 3-point spread for Ernst is actually better than is Braley’s, because the percent backing the incumbent party is lower.

And of course she just got Palin’s support yesterday.


21 posted on 03/27/2014 10:21:43 AM PDT by 9YearLurker
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To: iowamark

Will be kinda close but the Dim will take this one as expected.


25 posted on 03/27/2014 11:08:44 AM PDT by RIghtwardHo
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To: iowamark

A couple months ago when Jacobs was interviewed by Simon Conway, he DANCED all over the place when posed a simple question: When (not if) a “clean” bill to raise the debt ceiling comes to the floor of the Senate, how would a Senator Mark Jacobs vote? Would you vote YES or NO to raise the debt ceiling with NO accompanying spending cuts and NO other concessions from Democrats?

When Jacobs kept dancing around the question by reading from his talking points, Conway stated the question no less than three times. Jacobs refused to answer.

Mark Jacobs is a spineless politician.


26 posted on 03/27/2014 6:40:37 PM PDT by newgeezer (It is [the people's] right and duty to be at all times armed. --Thomas Jefferson, 1824)
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To: iowamark

Conventional campaign wisdom is that an incumbent (and given this is Harken’s seat the Dem is considered the incumbent) is in trouble if he’s pulling less than 50%.

Months still to go in the campaign season, but reasonable predictions would say that there are a LOT of environmental factors (like the continuing problems with Obamacare, more of which will rise to prominence between now and the election) that will work for the GOP and against the Dems ...


27 posted on 03/27/2014 6:44:00 PM PDT by tanknetter
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To: iowamark

This idiot just touted his endorsement from Liz Warren to change the subject.

http://www.desmoinesregister.com/article/20140327/NEWS09/303270085/Elizabeth-Warren-endorses-Iowa-s-Bruce-Braley-U-S-Senate?nclick_check=1


28 posted on 03/27/2014 6:56:25 PM PDT by ObamahatesPACoal
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To: iowamark

It will probably hurt them with higher GOP turnout in the House races. They will have less chance of competing for Latham’s seat.


31 posted on 03/27/2014 10:35:45 PM PDT by ObamahatesPACoal
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