Two things majorly wrong here.
If this is true then administration officials are leaking "classified intelligence".
When one(Obama) predicts that somebody(Putin) is likely to do something(invade), then one increases the chances that the person would carry out that action.
Which is why I don't believe it. However, Putin's watching who is lining up for the election ahead....he'll stall for a time.
You'd think Ukrainians have had enough of the oligarchs by now....which is why they are in this situation to begin with..... So far they're lining up the same'o same'o.....billionaires with lots of money and power. (Transparency International that monitors corruption, rates Ukraine 144 out of 177 states.)