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To: Paul R.

There is plenty of old Soviet stuff in storage, including infantry weapons, armored vehicles, artillery, etc. Nothing sophisticated, but enough to arm the populace to the teeth. Remember, we are talking about 46 million of very pissed off people - even sticks and stones will be effective in such numbers.


71 posted on 03/27/2014 10:19:17 AM PDT by Samogon (Wise men talk because they have something to say; fools, because they have to say something. - Plato)
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To: Samogon

Interesting. I knew that Ukraine has a substantial arms industry of its own, but its all for export. Until now, anyway. Where are those factories located? I’d think they’d be prime targets for Russia to capture, or destroy if capture is not practical.

Strictly speaking, I think you’d have to peel maybe 10 million Russian leaning inhabitants off that 46 million your state, and then another 10 million just to balance against the pro-Russian group, then another 10-20 million unwilling or unable to effectively participate. So that leaves you with maybe 5 million really able to oppose the Russian military in some way. Assuming a 10:1 kill ratio in favor of the Russians, and a 50,000 fatal casualties figure for what the Russian public might support before they cry “no more”, Ukraine might lose half a million killed in a long struggle, before finally throwing off the Russian yoke for good. This is far less than Ukrainian deaths in WW2, but these are still grim, horrifying numbers. Other hardships would be incredible, too.

Are there 5 million Ukrainians willing to fight THAT hard, for a protracted period?


72 posted on 03/27/2014 1:04:47 PM PDT by Paul R. (Leftists desire to control everything; In the end they invariably control nothing worth a damn.)
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