Does it really matter who wins the GOP nomination, much less by how much? Will s/he get as much as 40% in the general election?
She can win.
She needs support of the party and a national media platform for her message.
“Does it really matter who wins the GOP nomination”
Yes it does because Hollywood, the media, the comedians, and the democrat party will make her into the poster child for the GOP.
In the end Mark Sanford resigning as SC governor was no big deal except he made the GOP the butt of jokes for 2-3 years.
Ditto for “I am not a Witch” candidate from Delaware.