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Can Obama Rise To Carter's Level?
Townhall.com ^ | March 18, 2014 | Michael Gerson

Posted on 03/18/2014 2:41:56 PM PDT by Kaslin

WASHINGTON -- As Winston Churchill might have said, the battle for Crimea is over. The battle for the idea of Europe is about to begin.

Russia -- as one might expect from an espiocracy, ruled by a Soviet-era spy -- practices a particularly sophisticated form of aggression. Its military buildup near Ukraine -- perhaps 80,000 troops -- both intimidates Kiev and allows Russia to "adjust" the border in strategically important places such as the natural gas pumping station near Strilkove. At the same time, Russian special operations forces are at work throughout eastern Ukraine, inciting the anger of Russian-speakers and organizing provocations. And all this takes place under the cover of a campaign of propaganda and disinformation unequaled in scope and outlandish falsehood since the fall of the Soviet Union.

These varied instruments of power -- direct threats, infiltration and psychological operations -- have afforded Vladimir Putin a variety of options. He could send his tanks to Kiev -- which is probably unnecessary for his purposes and one of the few ways to involve Ukraine's minimally capable military in the conflict. He could stir up trouble in areas such as Kharkiv or Donetsk and then take military action to "protect" Russian-speaking populations. Or he could consolidate his gains in Crimea while offering President Obama a way out of confrontation. As in the case of Syrian chemical weapons, Putin could allow Obama to declare a diplomatic victory while swallowing a strategic defeat. Once again, the president would likely be grateful.

Whatever his choice, Putin is in charge of events -- which is just as he likes it. The largest problem for America (and for the states of Europe's east) is the inherent ambition of Russia's grand strategy. Putin is using the rights of Russian-speaking minorities to dismember his neighbors and re-litigate the end of the Cold War. And there are about 25 million Russian minorities beyond Russia's borders, including in NATO allies such as Latvia and Estonia. If Russia is not deterred from pursuing this course, the stakes only grow higher.

Putin's push is directly at odds with a U.S. strategy successfully pursued by presidents of both parties. They have contended that America is, in effect, a European power, perpetually insecure when Europe is divided and in conflict. So the U.S. has sought the creation of a Europe that is whole, free and at peace, particularly by encouraging the expansion of NATO and the European Union. Over the last few decades, the zone of westward-facing integration has moved steadily eastward, on the appeal of prosperity and democracy. Russia now wants to push this zone back with threats and force.

In this conflict of strategies, the West is far more powerful -- economically, militarily and ideologically. But it is not acting like it. European governments have struggled to produce relatively minor sanctions against Russia. The Obama administration (according to The Wall Street Journal) turned away Ukraine's request for emergency military assistance. (Refusing such an appeal makes little sense, even if you don't intend to fulfill it. Better to plant doubts in Putin's mind than remove them.) And the U.S. Senate, paralyzed by GOP obstruction, delayed other forms of aid to Ukraine.

Will the end of illusions result in a shift in policy? There are signs that European governments are steeling themselves for more costly actions. (Germany, after all, knows something about the practice of exploiting ethnic identity to dismember neighboring nations.) But there is little hope that the Europeans will move decisively without bold American leadership -- today one of the rarest of global commodities.

If Putin persists in confrontation, long-term military assistance to the Ukrainian government would be needed -- if it still exists. Imposing serious oil and gas sanctions on Russia would begin a race: Will Europe run out of energy before Russia runs out of money? The reinforcement of neighboring NATO states and joint military exercises would send a signal, but also raise risks of accidental confrontation. All these actions are costly and difficult. And the sort of thing made unavoidable by Putin's continued aggression.

In the aftermath of the Soviet invasion of Afghanistan -- another end of illusions -- President Jimmy Carter recalled the U.S. ambassador, imposed a grain embargo, shut off technology transfers, accelerated the delivery of arms to Pakistan, began aid to Afghan insurgents, pledged to defend Middle Eastern oil supplies and proposed long-term defense spending increases.

This is now the state of Obama's foreign policy: He must rise to Carter-era levels of resolve.


TOPICS: Culture/Society; Editorial; Russia
KEYWORDS: barack0bama; crimea; jimmycarter; ukraine
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To: Kaslin

No


21 posted on 03/18/2014 3:55:43 PM PDT by DooDahhhh
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To: Kaslin

Not to going to happen.

Putin today offered Obama a way out. Odds are good he’ll take it.


22 posted on 03/18/2014 3:56:57 PM PDT by goldstategop (In Memory Of A Dearly Beloved Friend Who Lives In My Heart Forever)
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To: Kaslin

The first apologist has not quit apologizing....


23 posted on 03/18/2014 4:00:36 PM PDT by The_Media_never_lie (The media must be defeated any way it can be done.)
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To: Berlin_Freeper

LL


24 posted on 03/18/2014 4:16:22 PM PDT by T Ruth (Islam shall be defeated.)
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To: Kaslin
"So the U.S. has sought the creation of a Europe that is whole, free and at peace, particularly by encouraging the expansion of NATO and the European Union."

The basis of such hubris is not in order to create more stability and security in the USA...and is certainly NOT in American interests.

With each new addition to NATO the USA is COMMITTED to existential war to protect the borders and security of that nation.

Why is it in the interests of the American people to threaten existential war over Latvia or Georgia...or even Turkey for that matter? And, why would we even consider adding Ukraine?

It's insanity.

25 posted on 03/18/2014 4:28:01 PM PDT by Mariner (War Criminal #18)
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To: Kaslin

BO has surpassed Carter. I know, hard to believe, but it’s true!!


26 posted on 03/18/2014 4:29:45 PM PDT by KosmicKitty (WARNING: Hormonally crazed woman ahead!!)
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To: Kaslin

We have a policy? When? Where? What?


27 posted on 03/18/2014 4:53:46 PM PDT by relictele (Principiis obsta & Finem respice - Resist The Beginnings & Consider The End)
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To: relictele

Obama’s Policy, Destroy America.

He’s doing a heckuva job.


28 posted on 03/18/2014 4:54:47 PM PDT by dfwgator
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To: Kaslin

Gerson, a neo-conservative, has repeatedly criticized other conservatives in his column and conservatives have returned the favor. One of Gerson’s first columns was entitled “Letting Fear Rule”, in which he compared skeptics of President Bush’s immigration reform bill to nativist bigots of the 1880s.


29 posted on 03/18/2014 5:00:40 PM PDT by kcvl
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To: kcvl
Gerson, a neo-conservative, has repeatedly criticized other conservatives in his column and conservatives have returned the favor.

What has this to do with the article?

Jesus Christ: You can’t impeach Him and He ain’t going to resign.




30 posted on 03/18/2014 7:19:11 PM PDT by rdb3 (Get out the putter, this one's on the green.)
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To: Kaslin

The real question is whether or not Obama can rise to Bozo the Clown’s level.

And the answer is an emphatic, “No!”


31 posted on 03/18/2014 7:36:51 PM PDT by Jack Hammer
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To: Kaslin

It is 9:30pm in Lufkin, Texas. I just saw Obama on DISH 140 ESPN as he filled out his March Madness picks. With every box he filled in he gave commentary (without a teleprompter) about each teams best players and those who have been sidelined. He thinks it makes him cool. He thinks this behavior is endearing at a time of war, when Obamacare is devastating the economy, in a time when the unemployment rate among 10- 25 year olds is 16%. This bastard is vacuous and clueless. He is disgusting.


32 posted on 03/18/2014 8:40:42 PM PDT by Texas Songwriter
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To: MarMema

“Try again.”
//////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////

Yeah, I think it is rapidly becoming a case of “Useta wuz” in most respects. America “useta” have moral authority but it is absurd for us to claim moral authority now when we are rapidly destroying any shred of freedom left to the average citizen in the USA. The time is coming when the distinction will at best be one of which prison has the least awful food if we continue on the current path.

We have to come to grips with the fact that we live in a country where a man with ONE leg and ONE arm was shot dead by a cop who claimed the man had hemmed him in a corner and threatened his life...with a ballpoint pen...WHILE SEATED IN A WHEELCHAIR in A NURSING HOME . This is just one example of what goes on now. We have no moral authority any longer. Allowing gays to openly serve in the military and aborting babies does not give moral authority but quite the contrary regardless of what liberal doofuses may imagine.


33 posted on 03/19/2014 7:52:31 AM PDT by RipSawyer
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To: RipSawyer
I know. Police State.

The ironies of life.

The losses we have endured.

34 posted on 03/19/2014 8:01:36 AM PDT by MarMema ("If Americans really wanted Obamacare, you wouldn't need a law to make them buy it." Ted Cruz)
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To: MarMema

Haiku?


35 posted on 03/19/2014 11:38:56 AM PDT by RipSawyer
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