I’m thinking it will carry an Iranian or Paki nuke. Israel estimates that Iran now has one or two nukes. It might be more now.
I have a good friend who makes his living developing scenarios to represent our real and potential adversaries. He is diabolically smart and refuses to be constrained by the strategic planners and intelligence analysts who regularly poo poo his products.
If he were to conjure up a delivery system for a third world nuke, he would never suggest a ballistic or cruise missile as you might find in Iran, Pakistan or North Korea. This would be the perfect vehicle for those countries. Squawking some false code, it would look like an airliners, appear to be an airliner electronically and the civilized world would have to make a decision on whether to shoot it down or not.
Lot’s of people are very nervous tonight. Of course, we have no idea if this is what is happening, but as a potential capability for our adversaries, it’s a cause for concern. There are ways to mitigate this threat, of course, but they are expensive and will take time to implement.
Iran has a couple of nukes and, at least until now, no way to deliver one.