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To: Yosemitest
One of the Israelis in the article says:

“Here, every blip on the screen is suspicious because that’s the way we live. That’s our daily program. I can’t imagine they pay as much attention, but if a blip runs wide or runs strange, I would expect them to notice.”

Someone on another thread posted a link to a theory that the missing 777 used SIA68 (Singapore Airlines flight 68) to cloak their own airplane until they could get across the Indian Ocean, away from primary radar.

http://keithledgerwood.tumblr.com/post/79838944823/did-malaysian-airlines-370-disappear-using-sia68-sq68

I like this theory, generally speaking, without having plotted it out completely on the charts myself. I looked at FlightRadar24.com, plugged in a playback for 1720z on the 7th, and sure enough SIA68 is just approaching overhead Kuala Lumpur, at 502 knots and 30k. So according to this theory the plot of their radar track nearly coincided with SIA68's path sometime later, since MH370 turned west on a convergent path at the same time. MH370 was able to join up with them all the way across the Indian Ocean, to an undisclosed location.

I don't know if SIA68 was the host, the cloaking aircraft, since there are many other 777s in the same direction, and I don't agree that TCAS will work in a receive mode without giving away position, but otherwise I like this theory better that most others.

Incidentally a big airplane will paint on onboard weather radar at 25 miles, and emits only a very weak signal. They could have used this to help acquire a visual on another 777, after using a portable ADS-B receiver to find a suitable host airplane, much like flightradar24.com uses ADS-B data for their detailed displays.

202 posted on 03/17/2014 1:46:15 PM PDT by zipper ("The Second Amendment IS my carry permit!" -- Ted Nugent)
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To: zipper
That's a really good theory. But there's problems when you try to match it with the
the arc graph (click on it for more detailed info) that shows the estimated range of the aircraft with it's remaining fuel IF it was flying at its MAXIMUM SPEED or 7 hours 30 minutes of fuel.

Now, from the article: My problem is ~ I don't know how accurate that Red Arc map is,
and I don't know whether to trust it or not.

I've been trying to match up the numbers on a "guess-ta-mated" flight path.

You can narrows down the search area if you take all the Satellite "Handshakes" into consideration for the search of runways/landing strips that Malaysia Airlines Flight 370 could have landed on. The Way Point on the northwet side of her screen is "IGREX" on Jet Route "P628" where the heading changes to a more northerly direction 320 degrees to PORT BLAIR Navaid. That's a total airborne time of about 4 hours 40 minutes from takeoff.

The arc graph shows the estimated range of the aircraft with it's remaining fuel IF it was flying at its MAXIMUM SPEED or 7 hours 30 minutes of fuel.

Now, from the article:

That's 7 hours and 31 minutes after takeoff.
That leaves 2 Hours 50 minutes to travel from "IGREX" on Jet Route "P628 to an undefined point on that arc of 7 hours 30 minutes from takeoff.

Let's say that the pilot leans the engines out to get the most out of his fuel for distance with the remaining time for "IGREX" and gets 3 hours if time,
before he hits his 20 minutes safety margin on fuel and then starts to burn his 1 hour emergency fuel.
At maximum speed of Mach 0.89 (590 mph, 950 km/h, 512 knots) at a cruise altitude of 35,000 ft , that would allow him 1770 miles of distance (to the red arc), before hitting his reserves.

Let's assume that since he stayed on the Jet Routes, he continued to stay on the Jet Routes.

Now take that information and the arc ping map (important to view this map at this link for more details) along with the jet route map, and you can find possible links.

Now I run the numbers on the Jet Routes starting from "IGREX" on Jet Route "P628" and starting subtotaling for a target of 1770 Nautical Miles.
Take a look from SkyVector.com.
Reference radar targets, the most interesting targets I've seen is the B-52 and the Antonov An-225 Mriya.
When they get within about 10 NM of the radar, they give a double target, and sometimes a conflict alert, due to the tail return.


204 posted on 03/17/2014 4:27:45 PM PDT by Yosemitest (It's Simple ! Fight, ... or Die !)
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