Posted on 03/10/2014 8:31:54 PM PDT by smoothsailing
March 10, 2014 10:38 PM
On March 9, a very influential geostrategic and ideological adviser of the Putin regime, Aleksandr Dugin, published his game plan for domination of Europe. The plan, which Dugin calls “the Russian Spring,” is presented as one of three scenarios for resolution of the current Ukrainian crisis. The other two, in which the Kremlin blinks in the face of Western pressure, result in thermonuclear war or complete global chaos.
Following is Dugin’s plan for the Russian Spring. (The translation is mine. The original, published in Russian, may be viewed on Dugin’s Facebook page.)
Scenario Russian spring
1. Kiev takes a waiting position, concentrates its troops on the border with the Crimea, and threatens, but takes no direct action. The U.S. strongly pressures Russia, freezing accounts, and actively wages information war, but they and NATO avoid direct clashes. Kiev receives substantial support from the West, but focuses on domestic issues. The border with Russia is closed.
The referendum [in the Crimea on whether to join Russia] passes with minimal problems. The vast majority vote for joining Russia. No country recognizes the referendum except Russia. Russia raises the question of retaliatory actions if it receives Crimea into Russia. Both chambers of the Duma promptly ratify the annexation. Crimea is returned to Russia. Russian forces enter.
The West rages strong pressure on Russia. Militants in the North Caucasus and the fifth column in Moscow are activated. Putin is supported by everyone. His popularity among the people climaxes. This helps him cope with internal challenges.
2. In eastern Ukraine, Kiev starts to take tough punitive measures. There is a straight nationalist dictatorship. Individuals attempt to attack Crimea or commit acts of sabotage. They start taking revenge on Russians and the Russian-speaking east and south for the loss of Crimea. This leads to the onset of resistance. The second phase of Ukrainian drama begins: The Battle for New Russia. People wake up at once and quickly. Ukraine establishes a state of emergency, in connection with what is defined as “Muscovite aggression.” The last traces of democracy are abolished. Elections are held in May in wartime.
3. The nationalists arrange a series of terrorist attacks in Russia. In Russia itself, the regime evolves, and starts to clean out the fifth column.
4. In Novorossia, resistance increases and gradually moves to the phase of direct rebellion against the Kiev henchmen. There is a bloody civil war. Russia deploys massive effective support structure; symmetrically the West supports Kiev. At a certain moment, in response to the sabotage in Russia and bloody actions of the nationalists and the repressive apparatus of Kiev against civilians and the east of Ukraine, Russia sends its troops into the east. The West threatens nuclear war. This is the existential moment for Putin. But he cannot stop. Going hard (possibly with heavy losses), Novorossia is liberated. The Left-bank Ukraine is conquered, with its border along the Dnieper. A new government is founded — for example, Ukraine or Novorossia. Or a version of Crimea may be repeated.
5. The Right-bank Ukraine, which does not recognize secession (as Yugoslavia under Milosevic and later Serbia against Kosovo), forms a new de facto Ukraine-2 state. NATO bases are immediately located on its territory, stopping the possibility of Russian move to Kiev.
6. The new rigidly nationalistic Ukrainian government quickly comes to a crisis. Direct clashes begin between ethnic groups (Ruthenians, Hungarians, Poles, Romanians, other minorities) and on political grounds (power loss blamed for half the territories of Ukraine). The state weakens. The process of new secessions begins.
7. Russia does not stop there, but carries activity into Europe, acting as the main element of the European Conservative Revolution. Europe starts to crack: Some countries are behind the U.S., but more often begin to listen to Russia. Against the background of the financial crisis, Russia’s position becomes more attractive. Russia takes on the protection of multipolarity, continentalism, and new conservatism (the Fourth Political Theory).
8. In western Ukraine, Ukraine-2, a pro-European (pro-German) political force comes to power that begins to soften anti-Russian policy and moves away from the U.S.
9. Across Europe, the de-Americanization process begins. An autonomous European armed force is created independent of NATO on the basis of the German Armed Forces and the French.
10. A new great Continental Association is formed, as a confederation of Europe and Eurasia, the European Union and the Eurasian Union. Russian, Ukrainians and Europeans are on one side of the barricades, the Americans on the other. American hegemony and dominance of the dollar as well as domination of Atlanticism, liberalism and the financial oligarchy is ended. A new page in world history begins. The Slavs are reunited not against Europe, but with Europe in the framework of a multipolar polycentric world. From Lisbon to Vladivostok.
Thanks for the post, those are important factors that should be noted.
My point is that Putin is in a far stronger position today than Hitler was in the 1920’s.
The east and south of Ukraine are heavily Russian in language and culture. They have little in common with West Ukraine. But neither they nor the Belarusians want to be absorbed into Russia. The affection for Russia has its limits.
Is this the same Robert Zubrin who is the head of the Mars Society?
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Robert_Zubrin
But he has no interest in world conquest. And most Russians don’t want to take up the draining responsibilities of empire again.
What he does want to do is render NATO impotent. To a considerable extent, he has already succeeded. Its not in Europe’s interest to get into a conflict with Russia.
Yep, that’s him.
Yup, thanks, I just found a NR article by him that has a photo...definitely the same Zubrin... a very smart man.
http://www.nationalreview.com/articles/284560/methanol-wins-robert-zubrin
Seems awfully odd that they would show their cards at this crucial time. Call me skeptical.
Thanks for that link, the article about methanol is excellent!
I have a feeling if we got nuked Obama would send Kerry and Biden to talk about it.
I would not underestimate this man, or his ideology. I have been reading about him, and the new Russian ideology.
This is not an insignificant crackpot. Nor is what is playing out a replay of the twentieth century, with the Russians still as the communists, and us as the freedom loving democracies.
This new ideology is a not a recreation of communism , but a reaction to criticisms of the weakness of western society. Just as we won the cold war by allowing communism to fail on its own internal contradictions, this ideology predicts the same for us. It sees us as the new communists, something conservatives would agree with.
American conservatives are in the awkward position of agreeing with some of their criticisms of western society, but still trying to support our country, even if it means supporting the society with which we have so much to disagree with.
Novorossia already has reported the no arm patch Russians with APCs, light arms and mines well into their territory. Donetsk is another done deal for the Russians as well. Poland will do well to recall 1936 and Hungary should remember 1956.
The town I grew up in didn’t have TV in 1956 but I recall the Movietone newsreels of Russian tanks in Hungary. I don’t believe Russian character has changed since.
Putin has been running Russia for along time. We can be pretty sure he isn’t going to turn into the new Hitler.
When they return from their travels through the galaxy, we don't want the Atlanteans making their alliance with the Russkies!
Talk about it hell. They would be giving Putin a list of targets that the Obungler wants destroyed, like red cities and states.
Sounds like Putin is a Hitler in reverse. But then, odumbo’s not worried as he plays more golf.
Are you suggesting that Dugin has become a deliberate lightning rod? Maybe a Soros pawn to make Putin look bad? Dugin seems far closer to Zhirinovsky, and his dreams of the Ottomans and Russian Orthodox working together seems like nothing any Russian would ever come up with.
“7. Russia does not stop there, but carries activity into Europe, acting as the main element of the European Conservative Revolution.”
.....I hope so.
What new Russian ideology have you been reading about? Dugin’s seems like an obvious fake: (1) he’s a political opponent of Putin, (2) his plan hinges on a Turkish-Orthodox alliance, (3) his comments are timed for exactly when they will instill the most anti-Russian paranoia by those he expects to be pro-Russian.
My guess is he’s not actually a fake, but a complete nobody dredged up by the West. If you need an idiot to say something stupid, you can always find one.
Just keep in mind that Zubrin is just the articles author, he’s summarizing the analysis done by one of Putin’s advisors.
Dugin’s influence was within the National Bolshevik Party, a party which adored Stalin, and borrowed heavily from both Soviet and Nazi imagery. It was aligned initially with Zhirinovsky’s National Salvation Front, but came to oppose them too, because the NBP was too pro-national-socialist. It was banned by the Russian Supreme Court in a move that was interpreted as being pro-Putin.
Dugin wasn’t from any wing of the NBP which was less radically opposed to Putin. In fact, he left the NBP for the even more rabidly hate-filled National Bolshevist Front. the NBP established allies with other ideologies to oppose Putin, but the NBF sought insurrection.
Dugin argues for a Russian-Arab yet also his claim to authority is that he is supported by members of the Russian Orthodox Church. This is similar to a klansman claiming to be supported by the AME Zion church.
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