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How Likely Are Dems to Lose the Senate?
Real Clear Politics ^ | February 20, 2014 | Sean Trende

Posted on 02/20/2014 5:24:45 AM PST by thackney

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To: fieldmarshaldj

Yes, like having the ability to swim like a dolphin or move like a bullfighter.


41 posted on 02/21/2014 8:09:18 PM PST by originofstrength
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To: thackney; fieldmarshaldj; AuH2ORepublican; Impy; GOPsterinMA; randita; Sun; LdSentinal; ...
Here is my take:

South Dakota- a very likely pickup.

West Virginia not a sure thing, but definitely tilting our way.

Montana- tilting our way. No idea how the appointment will effect things.

Arkansas- leaning slightly in our direction. Alaksa- a tossup, perhaps very slightly towards us. North Carolina- We're not helped by a field of third-stringers, but Kay Hagan is damaged and her fear is showing. Louisiana- This could go either way. Demographics help us, but Mary Landrieu has a knack for winning and Republicans aren't united yet. Kentucky- A tossup. Mitch McConnell has overstayed his welcome, but so has Obama. Michigan- A surprise near toss-up. The GOP nominee has raised money and avoided mistakes, while the 'Rat is little known and Obamacare is surprisingly unpopular. Still, Terry Lynn Land's disastrous campaign for Governor in 2010 has most Republicans nervous and 'Rats confident she'll blow it again. Georgia- Democrats have a potentially appealing nominee with a great name and insider support, while Republicans are left scrambling with no clear front-runner. New Hampshire- will Scott Brown run? That may make or break the race, as Jeanne Shaheen's popularity has slipped. Colorado- an outlier state, but Mark Udall is slipping and charges that he tried to cover up Obamacare registration numbers in the state don't help him at all. Republicans have a field of little-knowns.

42 posted on 02/25/2014 3:16:38 PM PST by Clintonfatigued (The War on Drugs is Big Government statism)
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To: Clintonfatigued

Damn, I couldn’t get the columns to break.


43 posted on 02/25/2014 3:17:08 PM PST by Clintonfatigued (The War on Drugs is Big Government statism)
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To: Clintonfatigued

Well done.


44 posted on 02/25/2014 3:21:12 PM PST by GOPsterinMA (You're a very weird person, Yossarian.)
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To: Clintonfatigued

Thanks!

South Dakota- a very likely pickup.

West Virginia not a sure thing, but definitely tilting our way.

Montana- tilting our way. No idea how the appointment will effect things.

Arkansas- leaning slightly in our direction.

Alaksa- a tossup, perhaps very slightly towards us.

North Carolina- We’re not helped by a field of third-stringers, but Kay Hagan is damaged and her fear is showing.

Louisiana- This could go either way. Demographics help us, but Mary Landrieu has a knack for winning and Republicans aren’t united yet.

Kentucky- A tossup. Mitch McConnell has overstayed his welcome, but so has Obama.

Michigan- A surprise near toss-up. The GOP nominee has raised money and avoided mistakes, while the ‘Rat is little known and Obamacare is surprisingly unpopular. Still, Terry Lynn Land’s disastrous campaign for Governor in 2010 has most Republicans nervous and ‘Rats confident she’ll blow it again.

Georgia- Democrats have a potentially appealing nominee with a great name and insider support, while Republicans are left scrambling with no clear front-runner.

New Hampshire- will Scott Brown run? That may make or break the race, as Jeanne Shaheen’s popularity has slipped.

Colorado- an outlier state, but Mark Udall is slipping and charges that he tried to cover up Obamacare registration numbers in the state don’t help him at all. Republicans have a field of little-knowns.


45 posted on 02/25/2014 3:23:02 PM PST by thackney (life is fragile, handle with prayer)
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To: thackney

Louisiana will be a different animal for sure. With the general being their primary
the democratic party can dump tons of money in it for her and ignore all the other
candidates and even some other states. Their State offices, gov. etc. are in 2015.


46 posted on 02/25/2014 3:33:51 PM PST by deport
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To: Clintonfatigued

There was a poll released recently from WV. It’s not even close. Capito is leading by about 15% and Tennant, the Dem, is barely at 1/3rd of the vote.


47 posted on 02/25/2014 3:42:22 PM PST by fieldmarshaldj (Resist We Much)
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To: Clintonfatigued

As for Michigan, Republican Land has been leading consistently and Dem Peters just declared war on a lady battling leukemia. Stick a fork in him.


48 posted on 02/25/2014 3:44:00 PM PST by fieldmarshaldj (Resist We Much)
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To: Clintonfatigued; AuH2ORepublican; randita; Viennacon; fieldmarshaldj; BillyBoy

I was not surprised by Michigan, and it’s not a near toss up unless it’s in the “near” is in Land’s favor. 2-time statewide winning Republican versus a generic rat in what should be a good year, if we can’t win MI this year.....

I read unions will pour resources into WV, but I’m not worried, I think they’re wasting their money.

I wish Louisiana Republicans would get united so Cassidy can win in November without a runoff. Maness is going nowhere.

PPP poll in Iowa shows the Rat Braley with a 6 point lead against each of this three most serious challenger. I have no idea which we should go with.


49 posted on 02/25/2014 9:53:29 PM PST by Impy (RED=COMMUNIST, NOT REPUBLICAN)
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