I don’t recall Rush being convinced of a win in 2012. I think he was hopeful the country would reject Obama, and many of the traditional signs were there in the year leading up to it. But he hemmed and haa’ed all summer and through the convention about the Romney campaign tactics.
I recall the day of the election Hannity predicting a fairly decisive Romney win.
Obviously we were all wishfully thinking.
I do think congressional elections are a very different animal.
That said, I’m not sure our side (speaking generally, including GOP types) has it in them to come out in droves.
I just don’t know.
But I sure like Cruz.