[SamAdams76]

I just realized that we have probably 700,000 to 1.3 million years before this thing is due to blow again.

It's not going to blow in our lifetime after all!

[John W]

Famous last words.

[DuncanWaring]

I just realized that we have probably 700,000 to 1.3 million years before this thing is due to blow again.

How do you figure that?

It's been erupting roughly every 600,000 years for the last two million.

It's actually, sort-of, due.

But, given that the "600,000" figure is approximate, if it erupts next year it won't be early, but if it doesn't erupt for another 10,000 years, it won't be late.

[diamond6]

And this is based on......?