[tanknetter]

That’s a terrible number, considering he’s running against an unknown. I suspect she’s gonna give him a run for his money.

At this point in the campaign right track/wrong track is more important than the horse race numbers. That'll change, of course, and any incumbent under 50% in a 2-way race is definitely in trouble, but if there's a good difference (looks to be 8 points right now) favoring right track then Walker's numbers should come up.

[sgtyork]

Wisconsin is pretty much 50-50 R vs D. Walker being ahead by that margin means that he is getting the independents by his stellar, frugal government, which aligns with the right direction wrong direction numbers.