Hillary was a “lock” in Dec 2007 as I remember.
Then a guy from Kenya by way of Chicago snuck in and stole the kishka.
I think it depends on the Chicago Mob. If you see Axlegrease, Gibbs, and Plouffy lining up with somebody else, Hillary is in trouble. If they take a pass or support her, then she’s probably good for the nomination.
Yes, HIllary was a lock in 05,6 and 07 - and this would be the equivalent of the “05” polls ..and yet, we had 8 years of a guy no one had even heard of from 08-12. Just another example of why this is meaningless .