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As Inflation View Shifts, the Fed Might Floor It
wsj.com ^ | Spencer Jakab

Posted on 12/14/2013 2:29:37 PM PST by BenLurkin

For the Federal Reserve, which is not only swapping drivers but probably shifting to the slow lane in terms of bond purchases in the next month, the automotive warning may apply to its economic views, too.

The Fed’s attention has been on the rapidly improving employment picture. This week, several economists suggested the Fed’s 6.5% unemployment-rate threshold for scaling back stimulus could be hit fairly soon.

Before making a move on interest rates, though, a quick glance at its blind spot—inflation—may be in order. The Fed’s critics, who in recent years have accused it of risking rapid inflation through unorthodox policies, have egg on their faces. In fact, the danger of disinflation—decelerating price gains—now looms.

...

Economists at the Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland calculated the most likely date of a Fed rate increase if an inflation floor of 1.75% were used. Their conclusion: a year later than the likely date if unemployment is the only thing being considered, or the first quarter of 2016

(Excerpt) Read more at stream.wsj.com ...


TOPICS: Business/Economy
KEYWORDS:

1 posted on 12/14/2013 2:29:37 PM PST by BenLurkin
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To: BenLurkin

LOL... 6.5%.


2 posted on 12/14/2013 2:35:43 PM PST by DonaldC (A nation cannot stand in the absence of religious principle.)
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To: BenLurkin

Wasn’t it just revealed that the BLS/Census lied about the decreasing unemployment rate for the 2012 presidential election?

And how will the federal government pay its loan interest if the Fed hikes the rates?


3 posted on 12/14/2013 2:52:13 PM PST by Hostage (Be Breitbart!)
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To: BenLurkin
The Fed’s attention has been on the rapidly improving employment picture.

What? Where is this suppose to be happening? Or should I be asking on which planet is this happening?

4 posted on 12/14/2013 2:54:24 PM PST by concerned about politics ("Get thee behind me, Liberal")
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To: BenLurkin
the Fed’s 6.5% unemployment-rate threshold for scaling back stimulus

Don't they understand the flawed way the unemployment-rate is calculated?

Current Fed Stimulus of $85 billion a month is expecting the availability of cash to improve the economy; just throw money at the problem, sound familiar?

5 posted on 12/14/2013 2:56:06 PM PST by Son House (Democrats want you to use 'Great Recession' instead of 'Jobless Recovery', recession ended June 2009)
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To: Son House

What’s worse — the new plan appears to be that they want to forget employment. And intentionally drive up prices instead.

Insanity.


6 posted on 12/14/2013 2:58:05 PM PST by BenLurkin (This is not a statement of fact. It is either opinion or satire; or both.)
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To: BenLurkin

Bs... The IMF is calling the shots... And they already forbade it.


7 posted on 12/14/2013 3:02:07 PM PST by momincombatboots (Back to West by G-d Virginia.)
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To: BenLurkin

“...The Fed’s attention has been on the rapidly improving employment picture....”
********************************************************************
Now if they can just drive/lure several million more workers out of the workforce the “unemployment rate” will be where they want it.


8 posted on 12/14/2013 3:11:13 PM PST by House Atreides
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To: Hostage

Fed gov can implement financial repression. If interest rates must go up to prevent the US dollar from losing its world reserve currency status, then the Fed short falls will be financed by American citizens via financial repression. As the Fed cuts back its purchase of T bonds and no foreign/private investor steps up to buy it, to prevent the rates from shooting up too fast, the Fed gov will mandate a portion or all of fed gov pensions will buy T bonds, and private 401k/IRA must invest a portion of its contribution or accounts to T bonds. IAW US private citizens one way or another will be forced to buy T bills with part or all of their pensions. The other option is to let the interest rates soar and implode the fed/state/local gov. The elites and statists will not let that happen. DHS/IRS is well armed to enforce such laws.


9 posted on 12/14/2013 3:48:31 PM PST by Fee
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To: BenLurkin
What’s worse — the new plan appears to be that they want to forget employment. And intentionally drive up prices instead.

This crowd still believes that employment will only improve when inflation increases. Crazy, but they do.

10 posted on 12/14/2013 3:49:28 PM PST by BfloGuy ( Even the opponents of Socialism are dominated by socialist ideas.)
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To: BenLurkin

How can the Fed’s economists believe that our ‘’rapidly improving employment picture’’ will continue to improve rather then crash when one-sixth of the U.S. economy — the healthcare sector — is about to be negatively impacted by the arrival of the ObamaCare plague?


11 posted on 12/14/2013 4:21:03 PM PST by Bluestocking
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To: BenLurkin

I think the economy has gone down the rabbit hole, and it won’t come out until the Keynesian fairytale is over.


12 posted on 12/14/2013 4:32:57 PM PST by pallis
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To: pallis

No no.

Our brilliant Pressdent says we have to “dig our way out” of the hole.


13 posted on 12/14/2013 5:43:09 PM PST by BenLurkin (This is not a statement of fact. It is either opinion or satire; or both.)
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To: DonaldC

“This week, several economists suggested the Fed’s 6.5% unemployment-rate threshold for scaling back stimulus could be hit fairly soon”

Somebody is on some really good recreational drugs. :-)


14 posted on 12/14/2013 5:45:58 PM PST by Georgia Girl 2 (The only purpose of a pistol is to fight your way back to the rifle you should never have dropped.)
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To: BfloGuy
This crowd still believes that employment will only improve when inflation increases. Crazy, but they do.

...just like these "best minds" think printing money out of thin air will magically fix an economy.

15 posted on 12/14/2013 5:56:32 PM PST by Flick Lives (Got a problem with the government? Have a complaint. Get a free IRS audit!)
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To: BenLurkin

6.5%...must be in an alternate universe.


16 posted on 12/14/2013 7:43:31 PM PST by Nuc 1.1 (Nuc 1 Liberals aren't Patriots. Remember 1789!)
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To: BenLurkin

The economy won’t improve until the Commies leave the WH.


17 posted on 12/15/2013 1:38:01 AM PST by VRWC For Truth (Roberts has perverted the Constitution)
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To: Flick Lives
...just like these "best minds" think printing money out of thin air will magically fix an economy.

Yeah, like who would be against more money, dude? Heh.

18 posted on 12/15/2013 3:06:29 PM PST by BfloGuy ( Even the opponents of Socialism are dominated by socialist ideas.)
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