There were two factors for the relatively low GOP turnout -- some 4-to-6 million short, as I recall.
1. Some conservatives stayed home. For sure.
2. The Republican GOTV effort was a total failure; Romney's touted computer-guided effort was a bigger flustercluck than Healthcare.gov.
I've no idea how to allocate the shortfall.
That's what I marvel at. That if you had to remind someone to vote in the 2012 electionespecially if they had a computerthey probably weren't going to vote for Romney.