No way Sarvis gets anywhere near 12%. He will be lucky to get 2%.
I would like to agree, but the most disturbing element of this poll is the support Sarvis is supposedly pulling in heavily GOP districts. For example, Sarvis is supposedly getting 13% of the vote in the 1st Congressional District, which runs up the Tidewater Peninsula from Yorktown to the I-95 corridor. Romney got well over 60% of the vote last year, and McCain did as well in 2008. For Cuccinelli to win, he has to carry the first with at least 65% of the vote, and he won’t do that if Savris can pull even 10% of the vote.
I’m hoping that the bloom will be completely off the Sarvis “rose” by Tuesday. If libertarians want to give the governorship to Terry McAuliffe, a vote for Sarvis will do just that. If Sarvis falls back to the normal range for a third party candidate by election day (3-4%), Cuccinelli will win. The Obamacare backlash in killing McAuliffe, while Ken is benefiting from a late surge. At last report, McAuliffe had very few events planned through the weekend; if you see his calendar change, you’ll know that he really is in trouble.