Rasmussen today shows a significant tightening as well. Last week, McAuliffe was ahead by 17, today it’s 7. It’s all about the Big Mo now! KC is finally drawing blood against Fast Terry the Bagman.
Maybe there’s a sliver of hope yet.
I was called by Rasmussen last night on this race.
Hampton University poll out today has it McAuliffe 42, Cuccinelli 36, Sarvis 12.
D35/R33/I32
Sarvis is taking 6% more republicans compared to last month’s poll while just 2% more democrats.
Roanoke poll is all over the place. It was McAuliffe +5 last month and now its up to +15 with Sarvis taking 10%.
Had a business trip to Quantico, VA, yesterday. Drove up from the Tidewater area, through the heart of the 1st Congressional District, which is typically an R+6 region (or better). Support for Cuccinelli seems to be very strong, and it looks like he will run ahead of Romney last year. He needs to pull at least 60-65% of the vote in the corridor running from Yorktown up to Fredericksburg, and up his margins in places like Virginia Beach.
The Old Dominion is a strange place, electorally. Look at last year’s presidential results and you see a sea of red, but all the Dims have to do is carry the DC suburbs handily, and carry places like Norfolk, Newport News and metro Richmond.
Cuccinelli still has a ways to go, but I’m feeling better about this race. He needs to keep hammering McAuliffe on Obamacare, and it would be nice if he could run some last-minute TV ads reminding voters that his latest surrogate (Barry O) is the architect of this disaster, and the Clintons tried to implement a similar mess 20 years ago.
I’d say Oloser is hurting Fast Terry. His healthcare debacle is getting worse and worse.
If Cooch pulls this out, I’ll be grinning all the way to 2014.
I’d say Oloser is hurting Fast Terry. His healthcare debacle is getting worse and worse.
If Cooch pulls this out, I’ll be grinning all the way to 2014.
Yes it does. I still think Ras is assuming too high Dem turnout but I also think the Q poll may be assuming just a little too generous turnout for GOP. The Q poll shows that if the GOP that are going Sarvis return to Cuccinelli the race is tied. There was another poll Hampton University which shows a 6 point race but the trend is pretty clear. The overall trend on RCP is a tightening of the race and the majority of the polls internals show that Ken’s voters are casting a positive vote for him versus McAuliffe whose strength is those casting votes against Cuccinelli. That will be a problem on election day for McAuliffe.