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To: bigbob

The nation won’t be restored until half the country can’t vote to rob the other half that worked for it.


7 posted on 10/26/2013 10:39:52 PM PDT by volunbeer (We must embrace austerity or austerity will embrace us)
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To: All

Read it carefully. These are not good numbers.

Rules for reading past oil hype:

1) When “oil equivalent” gets injected into the text, red lights and sirens should go off. They are celebrating 2 billion barrels of oil equivalent. That’s likely to be mostly natural gas — because that’s why the phrase appears, to conceal that the output is not oil.

2) When you see 50,000 barrels noted in months or years, grab your calculator. They said 50K in 90 days. That’s only 550 barrels per day. 550 bpd ain’t gonna fix anything.

3) When you see this -— “As of August 2012, 45 rigs were active – four more than in 2011.”, our hype alarm should be at full volume. If the players only added 4 rigs in a full year, they ain’t really expecting much.

An FYI tidbit, rig count in these shale plays are HUGELY important only at first. In the Bakken right now, wells are drilled in 22 days. But the fracking process takes over 100 days. So the rigs can drill like crazy and essentially accumulate unfracked holes like an inventory, awaiting the fracking equipment. So if you pour in rigs for a year or so you can accumulate lots of holes and then pull the rigs out and wait for the frackers to run out of holes. The EIA hasn’t caught up with this year — they are still quoting shale production per rig, and that’s somewhat a useless stat for shales.


8 posted on 10/27/2013 12:02:28 AM PDT by Owen
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