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New Study Says Iraq War Led to Half a Million Iraqi Deaths
Defense One ^ | 10/15 | Marina Koren

Posted on 10/15/2013 7:31:13 PM PDT by nickcarraway

Estimating casualties of war is a difficult science. Exact counts are nearly impossible to achieve, especially in areas where violent conflict continues long after the last of foreign troops have withdrawn. Determining a death toll for Iraqi civilians during the eight-year U.S.-led occupation has proven especially challenging. Multiple attempts by different organizations have covered only a few years of the war, and the resulting tallies range from as low as just over 100,000 to as high as 600,000.

The latest estimates, detailed in a study published Tuesday in the journal PLOS Medicine, come from an investigation into the total number of Iraqi deaths between 2003 and 2011 by the University of Washington Department of Global Health. Nearly 40 percent of deaths in Iraq that occurred in that time period were a result of the U.S. conflict, researchers say, putting the death toll at about 461,000.

Researchers visited 2,000 randomly selected homes throughout the Middle Eastern country. They asked adults to recount births and deaths within their immediate and extended family since 2001. Through this canvassing, the researchers estimated 405,000 deaths could be attributed to the war through mid-2011. They made up the remaining several thousands in their final number by estimating mortality rates for about 2 million people who fled the country during the conflict.

Researchers say 60 percent of the 461,000 deaths are directly attributed to violence, such as gunshots (62 percent), car bombs (12 percent), and other explosions (9 percent). Nonviolent deaths were attributed to health problems stemming from crippled health care, clean water, nutrition, and transportation systems. For every three people killed by violence, two died as a result of crumbling infrastructure that supports these areas, according to the study.

The survey, however, like the others that came before it, is not without its limitations. The researchers state their casualty estimate with 95 percent certainty. The actual number, they write, could be as low as 48,000 or as high as 751,000. The researchers point to the aftermath of the 2010 earthquake in Haiti as another example of a situation in which wildly dissimilar casualty counts were unavoidable. In the years since, the death toll for the natural disaster has been estimated to be anywhere between 46,000 and 316,000, revealing the problematic practice of calculating mortality.


TOPICS: Extended News; Foreign Affairs; News/Current Events
KEYWORDS: casualities; iraq; war

1 posted on 10/15/2013 7:31:13 PM PDT by nickcarraway
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To: nickcarraway

could be as low as 48,000 or as high as 751,000...


2 posted on 10/15/2013 7:36:46 PM PDT by Jet Jaguar
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To: nickcarraway

Uh huh... dragging out that old lie again!


3 posted on 10/15/2013 7:38:34 PM PDT by LibLieSlayer (FROM MY COLD, DEAD HANDS!)
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To: nickcarraway

So most of the iraqis killed were killed by muslims, not the US military?


4 posted on 10/15/2013 7:41:38 PM PDT by Hardraade (http://junipersec.wordpress.com/2013/10/04/nicolae-hussein-obama/)
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To: nickcarraway

And I would put my house on it that most of the deaths were caused by violence between varying Islamic groups!


5 posted on 10/15/2013 7:41:55 PM PDT by melsec (Once a Jolly Swagman camped by a Billabong.)
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To: nickcarraway

one thing for sure....

1600 American Soldiers have died in Afghanistan since Obamugabe took the reins.

Where is the nightly drumbeat about these deaths?

This is what was recently in the NYTs on the topic.....

“The Department of Defense has identified 2,270 American service members who have died as a part of the Afghan war and related operations. It confirmed the death of the following American recently:

LOPEZ, Angel L., 27, Specialist, Army; Parma, Ohio; First Infantry Division.”

http://www.nytimes.com/2013/10/11/us/us-military-deaths-in-afghanistan.html?_r=0


6 posted on 10/15/2013 7:45:30 PM PDT by digger48
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To: LibLieSlayer

Uh huh... dragging out that old lie again!

Yup gotta do what ever it takes to make the Americans the evil ones.


7 posted on 10/15/2013 7:53:35 PM PDT by Mastador1 (I'll take a bad dog over a good politician any day!)
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To: Mastador1

Yes indeed!


8 posted on 10/15/2013 7:57:16 PM PDT by LibLieSlayer (FROM MY COLD, DEAD HANDS!)
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To: nickcarraway

Didn’t the British Lancet do this years ago and the study was found to be flawed? The results sound the same, wild variance in the results because of the way families accounted for their relatives. Specifically, one death may be counted multiple times and by multiple families.


9 posted on 10/15/2013 8:13:18 PM PDT by pfflier
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To: nickcarraway

Had Saddam been in power the last 10 years he would have killed a million. He was once quoted as saying Iraq had too many people.


10 posted on 10/15/2013 8:41:28 PM PDT by Brad from Tennessee (A politician can't give you anything he hasn't first stolen from you.)
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To: nickcarraway

What seems harder to nail down is, how many killed by US forces. Saying, “how many killed as a result of the war” leaves it wide open to including people killed by the really horrific slaughter instituted by Al Qaeda in Iraq, and other internecine fighting.

And it doesn’t consider how many Saddam was killing who are not now killed.


11 posted on 10/15/2013 9:28:17 PM PDT by marron
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