Nobody at the time believed the assassination of Archduke Ferdinand would ever lead to WWI.
There was a certain unrest brewing there and all across Europe that was sparked to flame.
You nailed it, now that we look back we see the catalyst, yet today we can't apply that same logic to see where all of the current situations are leading us to.
This current situation we find ourselves in is just a repeat of mistakes in the past.
LOL...George Santayana anyone?
This is the price we'll pay from not learning from, teaching history.