[Lmo56]

I think SCOTUS will “86” DOMA within states that allow gay marriage - and take a pass on the Prop 8 case at this time.

That is, SCOTUS will rule that federal benefits will be given to gay couples in states that allow gay marriage. And, SCOTUS will overturn lower federal court rulings on Prop 8 and leave it intact - since it was PROPERLY voted on by the residents of CA.

The upshot will be a ruling that “marriage” is an institution controlled by the states - and in states that allow it, federal benefits have to be conferred to gay couples.

However, in states that allow gay marriage, religious institutions WILL NOT be required to perform gay wedding services [if they object].

[BuckeyeTexan]

You may be right. It’s a logical prediction.

[Bubba Ho-Tep]

That is, SCOTUS will rule that federal benefits will be given to gay couples in states that allow gay marriage. And, SCOTUS will overturn lower federal court rulings on Prop 8 and leave it intact - since it was PROPERLY voted on by the residents of CA.

You may be right, but I predict that if that's the case, the issue will be back in front of California voters again very soon and will pass. It was close last time and polling shows support only growing.

[BuckeyeTexan]

We were mostly right in our predictions. What we didn’t see was that Judge Walker’s decision would stand because at that time, CA was still defending Prop 8.