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To: Red Steel; All
According to a highly touted study by Rush, Hannity, et al, that even with 70% of the Hispanic vote, Romney would have still lost. The Hispanic vote made up only about 7% of the 2012 electorate.

Disagree with that analysis, just mathematically speaking. If as you say, the Hispanic vote was 7% of the electorate (I've heard 8 or 9% mentioned elsewhere), if Romney got 70% of that 7%, that would give him 4.9 percentage points of the national popular vote from Hispanics. In reality, he supposedly got something like 27% of the Hispanic vote, or about 2 percent of the national popular vote from Hispanics. That would mean that if Romney got 70% of the Hispanic vote, he'd be getting 3 more percentage points of the national popular vote, and by the same token, Obama would have gotten approximately 3 percentage points less of the total national vote. So it would be net swing of six points in Romney's favor, more than enough to push him past Obama in the national popular vote. The effect of these shifts on the electoral vote can't be determined.

Of course, we can't factor in the massive fraud and cheating in this analysis, disguised by pro-Obama commentators as "a good ground game" or a superb job in getting out the vote. The view here is that cheating and fraud, targeted to swing states, probably made the difference between Obama "winning" and losing.

62 posted on 06/22/2013 1:41:59 PM PDT by justiceseeker93
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To: justiceseeker93
You can read Rush's take or analysis here and in the link.. Gotta go now. :-)

-snip-

" "(Under that scenario, Romney would have won the popular vote but lost in the Electoral College...) According to the Times' calculator, Romney would have had to win 73% of the Hispanic vote to prevail in 2012."

-snip-

"So the party's doing that. They've got this new pathway to citizenship immigration bill. They're saying all the right things. But, again, remember, the percentage of the electorate that was Hispanic in 2012 was 7%. Obama got 71% of it; Romney got 27%. And if you reverse that, Romney gets 70%, he still loses. The highest percentage of the Hispanic vote any Republican president's ever got was Bush at 44. So the point of saying that even if Romney gets 70% he would still lose, it tells you that the Republican Party's problem is not the Hispanic vote.

It goes far deeper or is far more diversified than that. No doubt about it. How else would you read this? If you give Romney 70% of the Hispanic vote and he still loses, with everything else in 2012 being the same, then what are they doing? They're following the advice of their consultant class. They're following what the media's telling them.

They're following what the Democrats are telling them, what the conventional wisdom"

-end snip-

http://www.rushlimbaugh.com/daily/2013/05/03/the_hispanic_vote_isn_t_why_romney_lost

63 posted on 06/22/2013 2:38:14 PM PDT by Red Steel
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