If your contentions are on the money, Scouting will likely cease to exist in any form.
I believe in 1910 it was started as Christian based but non-political. In the 1910 environment it was possible. In 2013, the environment is too convoluted for anything similar to BSA 1910 to gain much foothold, not because there are not enough who could participate, because there are not enough to tell their kid to turn off the vid-game.
A new Scouting could take a generation or longer to re-start. That is my reasoning to fight for Scouting NOW, not in some theoretical future.
If this big corporation won’t let go even when loss of members, loss of backing confronts them, then it will have to die to be re-born.
This thing is like cancer treatment, the cure can be as bad as the disease.
It certainly will be smaller. As others have pointed out on FR, Scouts Canada went down this same path in NOV 1998 when its board of directors, under the mantra of wanting to be more "inclusive”, decided to admit females, atheists, agnostics, homosexuals, bisexuals, and transsexuals into its boy scout program. Within 5 years Scouts Canada membership rolls dwindled to less than half what they had been - from 300,000 to 130,000. The Girl Scouts-USA is going through a rough patch of membership loss and financial problems right now, and they started down the path of Cultural Marxism in OCT 1991.
Of course, with Cultural Marxism flourishing in the U.S. now, we may see the Young Pioneer Movement sprout as an alternative to the BSA. The FEMA Corps graduated its first class in MS in 2012. FC is for young folks 18-24. Not hard to imagine FC creeping down in age in some mutation of the Young Pioneer Movement.
I believe in 1910 it was started as Christian based but non-political.
The early history is interesting. BSA was essentially birthed with the assistance of the YMCA. That rubbed the Roman Catholic Church the wrong way, but they got over it and came aboard in 1913. The LDS Church also embraced it in 1913 and adopted it as their official male youth organization.
In the 1910 environment it was possible. In 2013, the environment is too convoluted for anything similar to BSA 1910 to gain much foothold, not because there are not enough who could participate, because there are not enough to tell their kid to turn off the vid-game.
Poor parenting is certainly part of the problem.
A new Scouting could take a generation or longer to re-start. That is my reasoning to fight for Scouting NOW, not in some theoretical future.
Agreed with your timeline. But the dynamics of the National Council being led by Fortune 500 CEOs who are hellbent on "inclusion" is the death knell for BSA.
If this big corporation won’t let go even when loss of members, loss of backing confronts them, then it will have to die to be re-born.
Many here on FR share that opinion. I am paying close attention to OnMyHonor.
This thing is like cancer treatment, the cure can be as bad as the disease.
An appropriate analogy. With the 5/23/2013 vote, I consider BSA in Stage III. When homosexual adults are admitted within 1-2 years, it will be Stage IV but could prolong its life for a while longer.
It will be interesting to see what the SCOTUS says over the next 2 weeks on the 2 homosexual marriage cases before it - (1) CA Prop 8 and (2) DoMA.