But I want to win and I want to be able to convince the fatcat Republican contributors and the Rino establishment that we need to be conservative to win. Otherwise we are just exchanging dueling opinions with the left wing Republican establishment and they have won that game cycle after cycle.
We need hard data. Where is Michael Barone when you need him? Gingrich promised a complete study but I have not seen or heard of it yet.
I don’t have data, but will share my highly subjective impression from 95% white New Hampshire.
Rand Paul came up here the other day urging us to be more diverse. Not sure what he meant. Most of us here like it here fine.
The New Hampshire GOP majority, which was once quite massive, has been destroyed by internicine warfare - not by Democrats, not by blacks and Hispanics (there are none) and not really by liberals - although at about 30%, they are an annoyance.
What’s happened here, IMO, is that the country club set has bought globalization, hook, line, and sinker, and the more-or-less conservative white working class majority feels abandoned by them. They would support candidates chosen by their “betters” as long as those candidates weren’t obviously screwing them and their families.
The GOPe is organized now around core principles that are detrimental to the white working class - diversity, globalization, open borders, and antifamily social liberalism. These voters formed the core of the Reagan revolution. They gave Nixon 61% of the vote and 520 electoral votes in 1972.
If they perceive, or can be convinced, that “conservatism, inc.” is a scam that sets out to hurt them, they are not going to be on board. And here, they’re not.
This is a state of small towns, small farms, “leave me alone” types, and no minorities to speak of. If the GOPe cannot win here, they cannot win anywhere.
Social and economic conditions for the white majority are deteriorating relentlessly. The GOPe has no answers. The commie answers, although false, are directed at them.
A strong rightward push is IMO the only answer. However, for it to happen the GOPe must surrender many of their most cherished illusions, above all the illusion that 30 million mestizos can be turned into productive and loyal American citizens, and the illusion that the tribal vote blocs of blacks, Hispanics, and now Asians can be subverted by more free stuff.
Even the white working class is not that stupid. To quote a famous Freeper, “all US politics is racial”.
Go white, go right, or go home.