I hope this is true, but they all said the same thing in 2008 and 2012. Instead, I say we ignore all polls and just get people to the polls. I am going to ensure that my friends go to vote more than ever before.
For a Republican candidate to win, he or she must pick up three large states that went for Obama (whether honestly or by fraud)--Florida, Virginia, and Ohio, plus one more. It will be an uphill struggle but the ones that seem to me to be most within reach are New Hampshire, Colorado, Iowa, and Wisconsin.