Sadly it seems that unless someone is given some hard cold facts, they just blow it off as some unfortunate thing that happened to some guys in a far away country. I’ve come up on this time and time again. If you get someone who is the least bit curious, you can get them engaged.
However, the IRS scandal WILL get their attention. The IRS can hit anyone, and even the most uninterested ‘gets’ this basic point.
I would hope your analysis is correct.