You could make that argument....that whites are staying home. But the bottom line is this: Whites are a shrinking part of the overall population....including the voting population. This especially true here in CA where white are now less than 40% which has had the effect of turning CA into a solid blue state. Not even Ronald Reagan could win in CA with current demographics in this state. And what is happening in CA is happening across the country. And Republicans are being pushed out of all of the metropolitan and urban areas. Here in CA we (Republicans) no longer win in San Diego, the Inland Empire, Fresno, San Jose, Stockton. We are close to losing Orange County, we are now losing in Ventura and Santa Barbara. We get absolutely annhilated in the SF Bay area and LA. But this jusn’t in CA where we are now losing big in urban areas.
Take a look at Texas. Sure it voted GOP in the last election, and probably will for the next several election cycles at least. But there are some warning signs: Whites are now just under 50% of the population in TX. Wiit unti whites are below 40% in Texas, you will see that state turn purple then red. In the last election, Obama carried Harris County (Houston) and Dallas County-—the state’s two biggest counties——GWB and RR easily carried both these counties back in the day. The GOP vote in Texas as in CA is being pushed out of the big metro areas and into the hinterlands. Here in CA nearly all of our (few remaining) GOP elected legislators (congressmen, assemblymen, state senators) com from remote and rural corners of the state as the Party has been effectively pushed out of all of the coastal areas and big metro areas. I see the same thing happening in Texas and elsewhere. I am not in favor of compromising our conservative principles. I am adamantly opposed to illegal immigration and have witnessed first hand how it has destroyed my once great state. I am concerned about the GOP’s weakness in most of our nation’s urban areas and I do believe the US is going the way of Europe. And I wish we could reverse these disturbing trends. Not even a pro-business articulate candidate promising progrowth tax cuts and decent private sector jobs and energy independence can win any more. It is all about the raza and all about who can promise to give away the free stuff at the expense of others. It is all about reparations baby——here in obamanation.
I meant to say Texas will turn blue.
About 1/3 of the Hispanics in the US are here illegally, but those illegals appear in or census counts and in all the demographic analyses and projections. And that is why they are about 14% of the population and only about 7% of the voters.
That’s why amnesty or not is so critical. It would bring a net of several million new Dim voters.
But you live in California and tend to think the rest of the nation is just a few years behind. Actually the Latino population is still very small in most states and they are not the swing voters who determine all elections.
And some of the most reliably Dim states are 85% plus white. One wonders if they will ever give up their leftest world view: Wisconsin, Minnesota, most of New England and others.
We’re seeing the same dynamic here in Virginia. Since 1964, Virginia was a reliable pro-Republican state at the national level, governors notwithstanding. Then, immigrants started rolling in the northern part of the state back in the 1990s. You can travel parts of Falls Church and be convinced you’re not even in America anymore.
Additionally, property developments and suburban sprawl up there attracted much of the government worker base from the DC area, Maryland, and as far away as Pennsylvania. The big warning signs we saw came in 2004, when Bush trailed throughout most of election night until he finally pulled ahead when Richmond County and Hampton Roads tabulated their vote totals. The first big bombshell came in 2006, when George Allen was upended by Jim Webb in his first try for reelection. While, we know about the impact from the “macaca” incident, the fact was a single word could sway the relatively small number of voters needed to tip a vitally important election.
The 2009 (gubernatorial) and 2010 (Congressional) elections gave some hope that a red-state turnaround was in the offing, but the results of 2012 put that notion to rest. GOPers still do somewhat well Hampton Roads, but the numbers are narrowing, and barring miracles, it’s gotten nearly impossible to overcome the dems’ totals in Fairfax County, the beltway region, Norfolk and Newport News. This was clearly evidenced by the state’s 13 EVs going to Obama.
Like the states you mentioned, Virginia is looking particularly troubling. The 2014 elections are going to draw in the supporters of that pathetic sock puppet Mark Warner, so the pro-GOP tilt may not be pronounced at all.