The district is typically R+11. This could be entertaining.
Remember though, Democrat voters become relatively more sucky in elections that don’t have presidents on ballots. They’re less cooperative when the bus comes to pick them up and take them to the polling stations. These voters weigh costs and benefits, and voting for one House seat has to compete with important Democrat activities like “go and get booze with my foods stamps” and “read my copy of Gays Monthly”.