Who’s voting for the Manchin-Toomey amendment? (UPDATED)

WaPo ^ | (Updated) 4-16-2013 | Ed O'Keefe

[Sir Napsalot]

(snip)

The amendment will require at least 60 votes to be added to the underlying gun bill.

Based on analysis by The Washington Post, only 22 of the 100 Senate votes are in play: The 16 Republican senators who voted last week to proceed with debate and six moderate Democrats who face difficult reelections in 2014 or represent rural states with strong gun cultures and would face strong political pressure at home for supporting new gun-control legislation.

** The 16 Republicans who voted with Democrats to proceed: Lamar Alexander (R-Tenn.), Kelly Ayotte (R-N.H.), Richard Burr (R-N.C.), Saxby Chambliss (R-Ga.), Tom Coburn (R-Okla.), Susan Collins (R-Maine), Bob Corker (R-Tenn.), Jeff Flake (R-Ariz.), Lindsey Graham (R-S.C.), Dean Heller (R-Nev.), John Hoeven (R-N.D.), Johnny Isakson (R-Ga.), Mark Kirk (R-Ill.), John McCain (R-Ariz.), Patrick Toomey (R-Pa.) and Roger Wicker (R-Miss.).

** The 10 Senate Republicans who voted to proceed and now plan to vote no on the Manchin-Toomey amendment: Alexander, Burr, Chambliss, Coburn, Corker, Flake, Graham, Hoeven, Isakson, Wicker.

** Members of the “Sweet 16″ who plan to vote yes for the Manchin-Toomey amendment: Collins, Kirk, Toomey.

** Still undecided: Ayotte, Heller, McCain.

** The six at-risk Senate Democrats: Max Baucus (Mont.), Mark Begich (Alaska), Kay Hagan (N.C.), Heidi Heitkamp (N.D.), Mary Landrieu (La.), Mark Pryor (Ark.).

** Democrats who plan to vote no on Manchin-Toomey: None have publicly declared they’re a “no” vote.

** Democrats who plan to vote yes on Manchin-Toomey: Hagan

** Democrats still undecided: Baucus, Begich, Heitkamp, Landrieu, Pryor. (Spokesmen for the senators said over the weekend that they continue to review the proposal.)

[Sir Napsalot]

Some overlap in these lists.

Important thing is to Keep The Pressure On.

[Wings-n-Wind]

Saxby Chambliss and Johnny Isakson have been put on "VOTE NO, DANGIT" notice...
...without the usual salutations and pleasantries.

[CottShop]

NY confiscation laws go into effect today-

[CottShop]

[[Still undecided: Ayotte, Heller, McCain]]

Oh they’ve decided- the bribes are in already- they are just keeping everyone in ‘sus[pense’ whiel they wait to the last minute tryign to forge their exucses why they will have voted for the bill

[Sir Napsalot]

I am pretty sure how Ayotte and McCain will vote.

But don’t know Heller.

[Cyber Liberty]

** Still undecided: Ayotte, Heller, McCain.

McQueeg says 80% of the people support the bill. Put him in the "Yes" column.

[apillar]

** The six at-risk Senate Democrats: Max Baucus (Mont.), Mark Begich (Alaska), Kay Hagan (N.C.), Heidi Heitkamp (N.D.), Mary Landrieu (La.), Mark Pryor (Ark.).

The question is, which ones are willing to make their 2014 reelection in rural red states a heck of lot harder, for a bill that, more than likely, is destined to die in the House regardless of it's fate in the Senate.

[Sir Napsalot]

Re: Kay Hagan (N.C.)

Gossips said Reid promised her plenty opportunities to placate her Red state cred.

[apillar]

** Still undecided: Ayotte, Heller, McCain.

McQueeg says 80% of the people support the bill. Put him in the "Yes" column.

When Lindsay Grahmnesty said he was going to vote against the bill yesterday, I figured the fix was in, they already had the votes to pass it and Grahmnesty was given permission to vote no. There is no way that Grahmnesty would have shown his hand this early and risked betraying his rumpdaddy McCain, if his vote might end up being needed. Expect all six of the "undecided" democrats to fall into line on the day before the vote as they always do (see Obamacare).

[Arm_Bears]

80% of what people?

[Eska]

Begich's staff said no way he'd even consider voting for it, wait and see. Wife & I sent letter after letter, even got a bunch of the local Indians to send letters. Begich knows if he votes for any background check, his career is over. More Repubs than Dems in Ak, and they are upset about gun control.

I read that they are trying to add an amendment saying rural people don't have to participate in the proposed background check, because they live hundreds of miles away; they are sure trying to get Murkowski & Begich's votes. Bunch of bull and I don't trust that Repub Murkowski(she'd sell herself cheap), I trust Begich more actually cause he will lose the election in 2014 for sure if he does.

[Vigilanteman]

Heitkamp will vote yes. She won’t face voters until 2018.

[Cyber Liberty]

“The” people. You know better than to ask questions like “What people?” /s

McQueeg said in a speech the other day, “The people.” That’s all he needs because he knows how he’s voting, he just needs to figure out how to spin it.

[ArrogantBustard]

80% of what people?

People convicted of murder, armed robbery, and rape, and currently incarcerated in the local State Penitentiary

[BerserkPatriot]

Political trivial for $400 please.

Alex Trebek: Who voted for the Manchin-Toomey amendment?

Question: What characteristic describes Most of the losing Senators in the 2014 midterm Democrat election bloodbath?

Manchin-Toomey Amendment orchestrates gun registration, read it yourself
http://dailycaller.com/2013/04/16/manchin-toomey-amendment-orchestrates-gun-registration-read-it-yourself/

[OneWingedShark]

80% of what people?

The people the "liberal elite" know: other liberals.

[2ndDivisionVet]

Reid: We’re making good progress on that anti-gun legislation
http://hotair.com/greenroom/archives/2013/04/16/reid-were-making-good-progress-on-that-anti-gun-legislation/

[Sir Napsalot]

Don't think is was a ‘slip’, Reid is reading from his speech. The ‘violence’ might be there, but he just said ‘anti-gun legislation’ right out.

Reid and Schumer’s slips notwithstanding, however they probably have the vote sewn up, just a few more needs to be bribed.