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To: catfish1957; thackney

I would think “cost effectively” is the key term here. Conversion of natural gas to gasoline in a pilot plant is one thing, conversion on a commerical scale to make it worthwhile is a different matter.


16 posted on 03/11/2013 11:50:35 AM PDT by henkster (I have one more cow than my neighbor. I am a kulak.)
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To: henkster
I would think “cost effectively” is the key term here. Conversion of natural gas to gasoline in a pilot plant is one thing, conversion on a commerical scale to make it worthwhile is a different matter.

The crux of their whole proposal is the break-even point in cost comparison to gas refined from oil, and the whole future of the company depends on assumptions on future oil prices; they have to hope that increased tight oil production won't simply drop the cost of crude so much that it doesn't make sense to make gasoline from natural gas.

I definitely wouldn't invest in these guys unless it was play money. All their technology could be brilliant and work perfectly, but their business model could be destroyed by a massive crude price collapse to $50 a barrel or something. And they have no control over that.

18 posted on 03/11/2013 11:55:46 AM PDT by Strategerist
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To: henkster; catfish1957
I would think “cost effectively” is the key term here. Conversion of natural gas to gasoline in a pilot plant is one thing, conversion on a commerical scale to make it worthwhile is a different matter.

Cost effective in the US. Under our price and regulation conditions. Shell, Sasol and I think some others already have commercial scale Gas-To-Liquid plants in other countries. Both have been looking to bring it to the US, if it can be done economically.

Example:

About Shell > Our strategy > Our major projects > Pearl GTL
http://www.shell.com/global/aboutshell/our-strategy/major-projects-2/pearl.html

20 posted on 03/11/2013 12:15:28 PM PDT by thackney (life is fragile, handle with prayer)
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