The second without a doubt.
Apostle Claver with Raging Elephants spoke at one of our Republican Women meetings last year. According to his statistical information, if even a relatively small number of the Democrats in Texas who voted for Obama in 2012 had gone to the polls and voted for the Democrat Governor Candidate in the last election, Texas would have a Democrat Governor.
There are/were some good charts somewhere on the internet which rate how Conservative House and Senate members are and there are fewer and fewer true Conservatives with each passing legislative session.
IMO Texas is in real trouble.
Yes, we are in deep trouble. Immigration in particular, both legal and illegal, hasn’t been kind to our state. By the next decade there is a real chance of Texas going blue, even sooner if amnesty is passed and former illegals are allowed citizenship and voting rights. Forget any chance of a Republican much less conservative president or governor after that.