So, tell me, who stayed home in McCain's case? Then, tell me, how did Romney get just about the same number of votes as McCain if Conservatives stayed home?
The big drop off was from "W" to McCain. That's where we lost the Colon Pow vote ~ and they weren't all black guys ~ they were who they were ~ and that's the crowd who walked out on Barry Goldwater!@ They walked out again and voted for Obamagoober in 2008.
This, BTW, is how cohesive factions slip from one major coalition party to another. We just lost a whole big bunch of non-professional GOP-e types in the McCain vote. They solidified their adherence to Democrat treachery and treason in the 2008 vote. They ain't comin' back.
This is one of the major reasons why Romney, who was depending on GOP-e foot soldiers, ended up without foot soldiers for his campaign ~ whenever it was supposed to begin.
That 4 million voter loss from "W" to McCain to Romney was about 6.25% of our expected fieldable voting strength. I've been estimating the GOP-e as, at most, 15% of Republican numbers, but this experience strongly suggests we've lost nearly half of them already and only have 8.75% more and we will be rid of them.
I'd guess about now they are starting to demand a seat at the table from the unions ~ whoops, I mean the DNC!!!
Hidden in the quantum noise we may have picked up 4 million black voters. Notice that Obama's numbers dropped from 2008 to 2012 ~ they went somewhere. Let's say that's black voters fed up with this posseur's BS and they slipped back over to the Republican column like they did before 1964 ~ JFK only got 75% of the black vote BTW ~ we got the others.
So they lied in exit interviews, but black voters could have easily protested the Obama failure to come to grip with their problems.
If Romney actually got those 4 million voters, we may well have lost all the other Rockefeller Republicans to the Democrats, so then we don't need to worry about them, and the lingering group of professional GOP-e's simply have no voting strength behind them!
That 4 million black vote would be a full 25% of black voting strength ~ and in critical areas. Maybe as the others figure out we have redistricted to give black people more guaranteed black Congressmen and members of state legislatures, we can pick them up and move back to the pre-Roosevelt 45% to 60% black voting strength that was historically ours.
The Democrats will be slow to recognize that their enticement of the hispanics to their banner has driven away the blacks.
Simpler answer.
Conservatives have left the republican party in 2008 with the nomination of McCain.
They ain’t coming back. That’s the crucial 6, 7 percent of the party that determines which way the wind goes. They pull their support - the republicans lose - they come in and turn out, Republicans win. Same as it always was.
Nominate a conservative and we’ll be wondering “why was this so hard?”