A Civil War could start very quickly—but it would have to come from the states—I see Texas as the leader. There would need to be a leader arise as well—a recognized and honored person—I believe it would be an old White Guy with white hair, someone trusted. Such men do exist—one just left the house—last name Paul. Others are out there as well. It would start small—and grow like the Christos War in Mexico in the 1920s. It would be ugly and bitter. It would be the end of the US as a great power—but maybe that would not be so bad.
I agree, except Texas would not go on a military offensive. They would not repeat an assault on Ft. Sumter, but they would defend against a Federal gun grab, etc.
It would be wise for the Free States to form some sort of association now, to organize strategy for dealing with the advancing Tyranny, even if there is no secession.
I disagree about how it would roll out. If we have a civil war it will look like Northern Ireland on a continental scale. Informal, amorphous and anonymous, with nasty atrocities on both sides, and some of them false flag.
FLB:
Power abhors a vacuum. Somebody will fill the vacuum the US leaves when the lights are turned off. If you think our best interests have been sidelined today wait for that day. You ain’t seen nothing yet!
“No man can stand success! Another’s that is.” Mark Twain