“You said “The fact is”. YOU need to be more precise in your use of language. Either it’s a “fact” or it isn’t. And you clearly stated “The fact is”. Say what you mean and mean what you say.”
Oh, I do. And you have certainly grasped the meaning of “fact”. However, when I say: “The fact is that event X has probability Y of happening.” that is stating that the probability Y is certain - not the event X.
I hope this (finally) clears this up for you. Happy New Year!
Happy New Year.