Most likely scenario is a reinstatement of the assault weapon ban, outlaw magazines > 10, and close the so-called “gun show” loophole. They will not confiscate guns at the national level.
You know, it’s great they’re going to lose that gun show loophole, since Adam Lanza bought his guns at a...Hey, wait a minute!
I think that's what they're after, what they think that they can accomplish this time.
It's still infringement and it is still a win for them.
They will not confiscate guns at the national level.
Not this time.
Baby steps.
“Most likely scenario is a reinstatement of the assault weapon ban, outlaw magazines > 10, and close the so-called “gun show” loophole. They will not confiscate guns at the national level.”
I know in CO, there are a couple more big ones pending: (1) Banning online ammunition sales (would raise the cost of shooting hugely); and (2) Start requiring purchasers to prove they are not mentally ill—maybe a Doctor’s certificate.
Of course, #3 in your list is the big one. Right now, gun owners who think there is no gun registration are nuts. Every gun dealer has their Book. It records every sale of every gun they have ever made, who they made it to and their address. Most of the books are electronic now. Should the gvt ever want to do gun confiscation, all they would have to do is look in the dealer’s books. They would know the owner’s of 95% of the gun in the US.
The only ones who would escape confiscation are the private sale loophole buyers. Currently, you don’t have to go thru an FFL to buy a gun from a person in-state. Even many of them would be caught thru data mining. Online purchases of accessories and ammunition would expose them.