Posted on 12/21/2012 6:37:23 AM PST by Kaslin
Even though I knew some people would call me Scrooge, I wrote a few days ago about why we should get rid of the tax deduction for charitable contributions in exchange for lower tax rates.
Simply stated, Im a big advocate of fundamental tax reform, and I would like to scrap the corrupt internal revenue code and replace it with a simple and fair flat tax.
Needless to say, that also means getting rid of tax preferences for housing. I make the case against the home mortgage interest deduction in this interview on the Fox Business Network.
Since a short TV interview doesnt allow much time for a detailed and wonky analysis of tax policy, this is a good time to explain why tax reform doesnt really change the tax treatment of housing. But also Ill explain why it is a big change.
I realize that makes me sound like a politician, talking out of both sides of my mouth, but bear with me.
One of the key principles of tax reform is that there no longer should be any double taxation of income that is saved and invested. As you can see in this chart, people who live for today and immediately consume their after-tax income are basically spared any additional layers of tax. But if you save and invest your after-tax income (which is very good for future growth and necessary to boost workers wages), then the government tries to whack you with several additional layers of tax.
The solution is a system that taxes income only one time. And that means all saving and investment should be treated the way we currently treat individual retirement accounts. If you have a traditional IRA (or front-ended IRA), you get a deduction for any money you put in a retirement account, but then you pay tax on the money including any earnings when the money is withdrawn.
If you have a Roth IRA (or back-ended IRA), you pay tax on your income in the year that it is earned, but if you put the money in a retirement account, there is no additional tax on withdrawals or the subsequent earnings.
From an economic perspective, front-ended IRAs and back-ended IRAs generate the same result. Income that is saved and invested is treated the same as income that is immediately consumed. From a present-value perspective, front-ended IRAs and back-ended IRAs produce the same outcome. All that changes is the point at which the government imposes the single layer of tax.
So why am I boring you with all this arcane tax info? Because the home mortgage interest can be considered as a front-ended IRA involving more than one party. The interest paid by the homeowner is deductible, and the interest received by the mortgage company is taxable.
Under a flat tax, the system gets switched to something akin to a back-ended IRA. The homeowner no longer deducts the interest and the recipient of the interest no longer pays tax.
Some of you may be thinking that this is a good deal for financial institutions, but a ripoff for homeowners. But here are two very important points:
In other words, homeowners or homebuyers in the new system wont be able to deduct mortgage interest, but theyll benefit from lower interest rates. Six of one, half dozen of another.
So why, then, is the housing lobby against the flat tax?
In part, they dont know what theyre talking about. But what about the smart ones, the ones who understand that theres no meaningful change in the after-tax cost of getting a mortgage in a flat tax world? Why are they opposed to tax reform.
The answer is very simple. They understand that housing isnt directly affected by a flat tax, but they are very concerned about the indirect impact. More specifically, they understand that the flat tax eliminates all forms of double taxation in the tax code, and that would mean a level playing field.
In other words, the housing sector is now taxed rationally, and other investments are taxed punitively. Under a flat tax, by contrast, all would be taxed rationally. So the housing sector would lose its relative advantage.
So if your industry or sector is the beneficiary of a tilted playing field, then its understandable that youll be worried about tax reform even if theres no real change in how you get taxed.
And I suspect the impact of tax reform wouldnt be trivial.
To get an idea about the potential impact, lets look at some academic research. Professor Dale Jorgenson of Harvard and another economist from Yonsei University in South Korea estimate that most of the economic benefit of tax reform occurs because capital shifts out of owner-occupied housing and into business investment.
progressivity of labor income taxation is another major source of inefficiency in the U.S. tax system. This produces marginal tax rates on labor income that are far in excess of average tax rates. A high marginal tax rate results in a large wedge between the wages and salaries paid by employers and those received by households. A proportional tax on labor income would equalize marginal and average tax rates and would sharply curtail the losses in economic efficiency due to high marginal rates. An important challenge for tax reform is to eliminate the barriers to efficient capital allocation arising from ?double? taxation of assets held in the corporate sector and the exclusion of owner-occupied housing from the tax base If both income taxes and sales taxes are replaced by a Flat Tax, and a lump sum tax is used to compensate for the revenue shortfall, the welfare gains are very substantial, $5,111.8 billion U.S. dollars of 2011 for HR and $5,444.3 billion for AS. Our overall conclusion is that the most substantial gains from tax reform are associated with equalizing tax burdens on all assets and all sectors and eliminating the progressive taxation of labor income We have shown that the most popular Flat Tax proposals would generate substantial welfare gains.
I dont pay much attention to the estimates in the study about an extra $5 trillion-plus of wealth. That number is very sensitive to the structure of the model and the underlying assumptions.
But I do agree that tax reform will generate big benefits and that much of the gain will occur because there will be less tax-induced over-investment in housing and more growth-generating investment in business capital.
But as I note in the interview, thats a good thing. It means more prosperity for the American people and a more competitive American economy.
Government shouldnt be trying to lure us into making economically irrational decisions because of tax or regulatory interventions. Didnt we learn anything from the Fannie Mae-Freddie Mac fiasco?
The clowns in Washington have been mucking around in the economy for decades and they keep making things worse. Perhaps, just for a change of pace, we should try free markets and small government and see what happens.
But it retains the army of bureaucrats and enforcers that is the IRS in full and all the regulations ane the power of social engineering that is those regulations and rules and fines and penalties et cetera et al and so on....
Yeah but just the suggestion would give Dems a coronary.
I am high income and I am sick of subsidizing the mortgages of others. I would hardly say I am in the eat-the-rich crowd.
You are subsidizing the mortgages of others? Do you send checks or can I stop by and pick up some cash.
How did I miss out on this, all I get to do is report a little less income.
Anything worth considering or doing would accomplish that.
Replace the income tax with the FairTax and abolish the IRS!
The issue is FReedom! It is nobody’s business how much a person earns!
Under the FairTax, ALL Americans would be able to work as much as they want to, earn as much as they want to, save as much as they want to and invest as much as they want to.
The heavy hand of government in the form of rules, regulations, laws and bureaucrats will not be a factor, interfering in their private financial affairs and distorting the economy.
Think outside the box, FReepers! FairTax, when implemented, will bring the USA back to its rightful place in the World!
Please check out the FairTax at http://www.fairtax.org.
As I keep telling my sons remember the reason for the season. In these dark days in the USA the one force in my life that keeps me positive and going forward is my faith in Jesus Christ.
God Bless you and yours.
Thank you Wm.
And Merry Christmas to you and yours.
May God bless us, every one.
Thanks Wm.
And may you and your family have a blessed Christmas.
God is in control.
Grace.
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